Vitória Guimarães vs Benfica - Liga Portugal - Journee 21 - dimanche 11 février 2024 à 20:30
Stade : Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques (Guimarães)
Score final : Vitória Guimarães 2-2 Benfica
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Benfica favori avec 51% de chances de victoire (nul 27%). L'algorithme avait prévu Benfica favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.6 pour Vitória Guimarães, 1.1 pour Benfica. Vitória Guimarães a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Vitória Guimarães | 22% | 5,00 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul ✓ | 27% | 4,00 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Benfica | 51% | 1,62 | -11,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Liga Portugal :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vitória Guimarães marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 64% | 1,50 | -3,0% |
| Benfica marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 82% | 1,12 | -7,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 52% | 1,70 | -7,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 48% | 2,05 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 76% | 1,22 | -6,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 51% | 1,69 | -8,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 29% | 2,70 | -8,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 49% | 2,04 | 0,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 71% | 1,45 | +2,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Vitória Guimarães vs Benfica :
| Statistique | Vitória Guimarães | Benfica |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,58 | 1,12 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 2 |
| Possession | 38% | 62% |
| Tirs | 14 | 8 |
| Tirs cadrés | 8 | 4 |
| Corners | 6 | 11 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 45 | 62 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitória Guimarães | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | +12 | 39 | 1.44 | DLWLLW | 7/10 |
| Benfica | 20 | 16 | 3 | 1 | +32 | 51 | 1.95 | WWWLWD | 2/10 |
Coming into this game, Vitória Guimarães has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Vitória Guimarães has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Vitória Guimarães is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 4 games that they have played at home.
Vitória Guimarães sera confiant à l'idée de marquer aujourd'hui et cherchera à maintenir son record de buts inscrits lors de chaque match à domicile cette saison.
Vitória Guimarães has had no trouble finding the back of the net recently and has scored in the last 10 home games. They have failed to find the net in 0 home game this season.
Vitória Guimarães will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Benfica, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Vitória Guimarães has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 10/20 games for Vitória Guimarães this season.
Coming into this game, Benfica has picked up 15 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 3 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Benfica has scored 16 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Benfica away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 9 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Momentum is really building for Benfica as they have now gone 19 games without losing. They have won 5 of the last 5 games they have played.
Il est possible que nous voyions quelques buts ici, les 6 derniers matchs de Benfica s'étant terminés avec 2 buts ou plus inscrits.
Benfica has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 11 occasions.
Benfica is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Vitória Guimarães, having won 5 and drawn 0. They have scored 16 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Benfica has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 5 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 9/20 games for Benfica this season.
It's likely that Benfica will score today, as they have netted in the last 8 games coming into this one and have scored 16 goals in the last five games.
Vitória Guimarães a fait match nul contre Benfica 2-2 en Liga Portugal le dimanche 11 février 2024 à 20:30 au Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques (Guimarães). xG du match : 1.6 pour Vitória Guimarães, 1.1 pour Benfica. Possession : 38% pour Vitória Guimarães, 62% pour Benfica. Tirs : 14 (dont 8 cadrés) pour Vitória Guimarães, 8 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Benfica. Indice de forme : Vitória Guimarães 7/10, Benfica 2/10. Sur 34 confrontations directes : 4 victoires Vitória Guimarães, 6 nuls, 24 victoires Benfica.
Score final : Vitória Guimarães 2-2 Benfica. L'algorithme avait prevu Benfica (51%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.