Fiorentina vs Inter Milan - Serie A - Journee 22 - dimanche 28 janvier 2024 à 19:45
Stade : Stadio Artemio Franchi (Firenze)
Score final : Fiorentina 0-1 Inter Milan
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Inter Milan favori avec 55% de chances de victoire (nul 26%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.4 pour Fiorentina, 1.0 pour Inter Milan. Fiorentina a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Fiorentina | 19% | 3,65 | -8,0% |
| Match nul | 26% | 3,65 | -1,0% |
| Victoire Inter Milan ✓ | 55% | 1,91 | +3,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Serie A :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina marque (HS) manqué ✗ | 62% | 1,43 | -8,0% |
| Inter Milan marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 83% | 1,18 | -2,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 52% | 1,80 | -4,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 48% | 1,95 | -3,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 76% | 1,27 | -3,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 52% | 1,88 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 30% | 3,13 | -2,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 48% | 1,88 | -5,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 70% | 1,31 | -6,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Fiorentina vs Inter Milan :
| Statistique | Fiorentina | Inter Milan |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,44 | 1,04 |
| Buts marqués | 0 | 1 |
| Possession | 58% | 42% |
| Tirs | 15 | 9 |
| Tirs cadrés | 5 | 5 |
| Corners | 7 | 6 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 62 | 34 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | +8 | 34 | 1.47 | WLWDWW | 5.7/10 |
| Inter Milan | 20 | 16 | 3 | 1 | +39 | 51 | 1.66 | WWWDWW | 9.6/10 |
Coming into this game, Fiorentina has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Fiorentina has scored 5 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Fiorentina at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 5 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Inter Milan's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Fiorentina from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 5 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 2 home matches this season.
Fiorentina has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 3 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 6 occasions.
Fiorentina will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Inter Milan, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Fiorentina has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 8/20 games for Fiorentina this season.
Avant ce match, l'Inter Milan a récolté 13 points lors de ses 5 derniers matchs, à domicile comme à l'extérieur. Cela fait une moyenne de 2,6 points par match. Les deux équipes ont marqué (BTTS) dans 3 de ces matchs captivants. L'Inter Milan a marqué 12 buts lors de ses 5 dernières rencontres.
Superb stuff from Inter Milan away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 10 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Scoring is not an issue for Inter Milan when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 10 games they have played on the road. Can Fiorentina stop this run?
Momentum is really building for Inter Milan as they have now gone 14 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 10 games for Inter Milan ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Inter Milan is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Fiorentina, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 12 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Inter Milan, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 8 matches (40% of all matches) involving Inter Milan has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Inter Milan will score today, as they have netted in the last 20 games coming into this one and have scored 12 goals in the last five games.
Fiorentina a perdu contre Inter Milan 0-1 en Serie A le dimanche 28 janvier 2024 à 19:45 au Stadio Artemio Franchi (Firenze). xG du match : 1.4 pour Fiorentina, 1.0 pour Inter Milan. Possession : 58% pour Fiorentina, 42% pour Inter Milan. Tirs : 15 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Fiorentina, 9 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Inter Milan. Indice de forme : Fiorentina 5.7/10, Inter Milan 9.6/10. Sur 36 confrontations directes : 7 victoires Fiorentina, 8 nuls, 21 victoires Inter Milan.
Score final : Fiorentina 0-1 Inter Milan. L'algorithme avait prevu Inter Milan (55%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.