Real Oviedo vs SD Amorebieta - Liga 2 - Journee 22 - samedi 13 janvier 2024 à 17:30
Stade : Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere (Oviedo)
Score final : Real Oviedo 1-1 SD Amorebieta
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Real Oviedo favori avec 57% de chances de victoire (nul 26%). L'algorithme avait prévu Real Oviedo favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.6 pour Real Oviedo, 1.4 pour SD Amorebieta. Real Oviedo a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Real Oviedo | 57% | 1,56 | -7,0% |
| Match nul ✓ | 26% | 3,80 | 0,0% |
| Victoire SD Amorebieta | 16% | 6,80 | +1,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Liga 2 :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Oviedo marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 81% | 1,19 | -3,0% |
| SD Amorebieta marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 54% | 1,95 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 44% | 2,25 | 0,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 56% | 1,57 | -8,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 70% | 1,42 | 0,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 44% | 2,30 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 23% | 4,50 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 56% | 1,53 | -9,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 77% | 1,18 | -8,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Real Oviedo vs SD Amorebieta :
| Statistique | Real Oviedo | SD Amorebieta |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,63 | 1,45 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 1 |
| Possession | 58% | 42% |
| Tirs | 16 | 16 |
| Tirs cadrés | 4 | 6 |
| Corners | 10 | 5 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 73 | 45 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Oviedo | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | +7 | 30 | 1.17 | WLWLDW | 5.9/10 |
| SD Amorebieta | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -13 | 15 | 1.11 | WLLLDL | 1.3/10 |
Coming into this game, Real Oviedo has picked up 8 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Real Oviedo has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Real Oviedo is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 3 games that they have played at home.
Superb stuff from Real Oviedo at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 7 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
SD Amorebieta's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Real Oviedo from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 7 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 2 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Real Oviedo as they have now gone 4 games without losing. They have won 2 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 7 games for Real Oviedo ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Real Oviedo will be looking to keep up the momentum today against SD Amorebieta, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 2 and drawn 2
Real Oviedo has fired blanks in 8 games this season. That's 38% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored an intriguing 9 goals.
In the last 5 matches for Real Oviedo, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 9 matches (43% of all matches) involving Real Oviedo has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Real Oviedo will score today, as they have netted in the last 7 games coming into this one and have scored 9 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, SD Amorebieta has picked up 1 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. SD Amorebieta has scored 3 times in the last 5 fixtures.
SD Amorebieta peut-il inverser la tendance ? Ils n'ont pas gagné lors de leurs 5 derniers matchs avant cette rencontre, avec 1 match nul et 4 défaites.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for SD Amorebieta recently, with the side failing to score in 2 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
SD Amorebieta has fired blanks in 9 games this season. That's 43% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored an intriguing 3 goals.
In the last 5 matches for SD Amorebieta, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 9 matches (43% of all matches) involving SD Amorebieta has seen BTTS landing.
Real Oviedo a fait match nul contre SD Amorebieta 1-1 en Liga 2 le samedi 13 janvier 2024 à 17:30 au Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere (Oviedo). xG du match : 1.6 pour Real Oviedo, 1.4 pour SD Amorebieta. Possession : 58% pour Real Oviedo, 42% pour SD Amorebieta. Tirs : 16 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Real Oviedo, 16 (dont 6 cadrés) pour SD Amorebieta. Indice de forme : Real Oviedo 5.9/10, SD Amorebieta 1.3/10. Sur 4 confrontations directes : 2 victoires Real Oviedo, 2 nuls, 0 victoire SD Amorebieta.
Score final : Real Oviedo 1-1 SD Amorebieta. L'algorithme avait prevu Real Oviedo (57%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.