Górnik Zabrze vs Jagiellonia Białystok - Ekstraklasa - Journee 23 - samedi 2 mars 2024 à 14:00
Stade : Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla (Zabrze)
Score final : Górnik Zabrze 2-1 Jagiellonia Białystok
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Jagiellonia Białystok favori avec 38% de chances de victoire (nul 29%). L'algorithme avait prévu Jagiellonia Białystok favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.6 pour Górnik Zabrze, 1.7 pour Jagiellonia Białystok. Jagiellonia Białystok a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Górnik Zabrze ✓ | 33% | 2,40 | -9,0% |
| Match nul | 29% | 3,20 | -2,0% |
| Victoire Jagiellonia Białystok | 38% | 2,60 | 0,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Ekstraklasa :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Górnik Zabrze marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 76% | 1,29 | -2,0% |
| Jagiellonia Białystok marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 79% | 1,25 | -1,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 60% | 1,63 | -1,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 40% | 2,20 | -5,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 80% | 1,25 | 0,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 57% | 1,80 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 35% | 3,00 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 43% | 1,91 | -9,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 65% | 1,36 | -9,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Górnik Zabrze vs Jagiellonia Białystok :
| Statistique | Górnik Zabrze | Jagiellonia Białystok |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,61 | 1,66 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 1 |
| Possession | 33% | 67% |
| Tirs | 13 | 15 |
| Tirs cadrés | 8 | 4 |
| Corners | 5 | 4 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 49 | 86 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Górnik Zabrze | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | +3 | 32 | 1.42 | WWLDDL | 7.1/10 |
| Jagiellonia Białystok | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | +19 | 42 | 1.55 | WDLWDW | 5.9/10 |
Coming into this game, Górnik Zabrze has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Górnik Zabrze has scored 11 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Górnik Zabrze is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 5 games that they have played at home.
Jagiellonia Białystok's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Górnik Zabrze from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 5 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 3 home matches this season.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 5 games for Górnik Zabrze ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Górnik Zabrze will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Jagiellonia Białystok, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
In the last 5 matches for Górnik Zabrze, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 12 matches (55% of all matches) involving Górnik Zabrze has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Górnik Zabrze will score today, as they have netted in the last 12 games coming into this one and have scored 11 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Jagiellonia Białystok has picked up 8 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 5 of those games. Jagiellonia Białystok has scored 12 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Jagiellonia Białystok has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 4 games.
Scoring is not an issue for Jagiellonia Białystok when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 10 games they have played on the road. Can Górnik Zabrze stop this run?
Il est possible que nous voyions quelques buts ici, les 6 derniers matchs de Jagiellonia Białystok s'étant soldés par 2 buts ou plus inscrits.
Jagiellonia Białystok will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Górnik Zabrze, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 2 and drawn 2
The last 5 games for Jagiellonia Białystok has each seen both teams scoring. Will they improve their defence, or will we see more of the same here? This season Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a total of 16/22 fixtures end with both teams scoring. That's 73% of all matches played.
It's likely that Jagiellonia Białystok will score today, as they have netted in the last 6 games coming into this one and have scored 12 goals in the last five games.
Górnik Zabrze a battu Jagiellonia Białystok 2-1 en Ekstraklasa le samedi 2 mars 2024 à 14:00 au Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla (Zabrze). xG du match : 1.6 pour Górnik Zabrze, 1.7 pour Jagiellonia Białystok. Possession : 33% pour Górnik Zabrze, 67% pour Jagiellonia Białystok. Tirs : 13 (dont 8 cadrés) pour Górnik Zabrze, 15 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Jagiellonia Białystok. Indice de forme : Górnik Zabrze 7.1/10, Jagiellonia Białystok 5.9/10. Sur 29 confrontations directes : 10 victoires Górnik Zabrze, 5 nuls, 14 victoires Jagiellonia Białystok.
Score final : Górnik Zabrze 2-1 Jagiellonia Białystok. L'algorithme avait prevu Jagiellonia Białystok (38%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.