Inter Milan vs Juventus - Serie A - Journee 23 - dimanche 4 février 2024 à 19:45
Stade : Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (Milano)
Score final : Inter Milan 1-0 Juventus
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Inter Milan favori avec 60% de chances de victoire (nul 25%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.4 pour Inter Milan, 0.9 pour Juventus. Inter Milan a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Inter Milan ✓ | 60% | 1,95 | +9,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 25% | 3,50 | -4,0% |
| Victoire Juventus | 15% | 3,90 | -11,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Serie A :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Milan marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 82% | 1,23 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Juventus marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 51% | 1,62 | -11,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 42% | 2,00 | -8,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 58% | 1,75 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 70% | 1,39 | -2,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 44% | 2,21 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 23% | 3,90 | -3,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 56% | 1,62 | -6,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 77% | 1,23 | -4,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Inter Milan vs Juventus :
| Statistique | Inter Milan | Juventus |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,43 | 0,89 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 0 |
| Possession | 54% | 46% |
| Tirs | 16 | 14 |
| Tirs cadrés | 4 | 2 |
| Corners | 6 | 4 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 62 | 41 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Milan | 21 | 17 | 3 | 1 | +40 | 54 | 1.63 | WWDWWW | 9.4/10 |
| Juventus | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | +23 | 53 | 1.40 | DDDDDW | 9.2/10 |
Coming into this game, Inter Milan has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Inter Milan has scored 11 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Inter Milan is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 5 games that they have played at home.
Superb stuff from Inter Milan at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 6 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
L'Inter Milan aura the confiance nécessaire pour marquer aujourd'hui et cherchera à maintenir son record de buts inscrits lors de chaque match à domicile cette saison.
Inter Milan has had no trouble finding the back of the net recently and has scored in the last 10 home games. They have failed to find the net in 0 home game this season.
Momentum is really building for Inter Milan as they have now gone 15 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
Inter Milan is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Juventus, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 11 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Inter Milan, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 8 matches (38% of all matches) involving Inter Milan has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Inter Milan will score today, as they have netted in the last 21 games coming into this one and have scored 11 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Juventus has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Juventus has scored 10 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Juventus away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 8 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Scoring is not an issue for Juventus when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 7 games they have played on the road. Can Inter Milan stop this run?
Momentum is really building for Juventus as they have now gone 17 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
Il est possible que nous voyions quelques buts ici, les 4 derniers matchs de Juventus s'étant terminés avec 2 buts ou plus.
Juventus has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 12 occasions.
Juventus is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Inter Milan, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 10 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Juventus has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 10/22 games for Juventus this season.
It's likely that Juventus will score today, as they have netted in the last 15 games coming into this one and have scored 10 goals in the last five games.
Inter Milan a battu Juventus 1-0 en Serie A le dimanche 4 février 2024 à 19:45 au Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (Milano). xG du match : 1.4 pour Inter Milan, 0.9 pour Juventus. Possession : 54% pour Inter Milan, 46% pour Juventus. Tirs : 16 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Inter Milan, 14 (dont 2 cadrés) pour Juventus. Indice de forme : Inter Milan 9.4/10, Juventus 9.2/10. Sur 41 confrontations directes : 11 victoires Inter Milan, 12 nuls, 18 victoires Juventus.
Score final : Inter Milan 1-0 Juventus. L'algorithme avait prevu Inter Milan (60%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.