KV Mechelen vs RSC Anderlecht - Jupiler Pro League - Journee 23 - jeudi 1 février 2024 à 19:30
Stade : AFAS Stadion (Mechelen (Malines))
Score final : KV Mechelen 2-2 RSC Anderlecht
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit RSC Anderlecht favori avec 40% de chances de victoire (nul 29%). L'algorithme avait prévu RSC Anderlecht favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.7 pour KV Mechelen, 1.4 pour RSC Anderlecht. KV Mechelen a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire KV Mechelen | 31% | 3,44 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul ✓ | 29% | 3,39 | 0,0% |
| Victoire RSC Anderlecht | 40% | 1,89 | -13,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Jupiler Pro League :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| KV Mechelen marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 76% | 1,41 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| RSC Anderlecht marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 81% | 1,22 | -1,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 61% | 1,80 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 39% | 1,95 | -12,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 81% | 1,29 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 59% | 1,88 | +6,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 36% | 3,25 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 41% | 1,86 | -13,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 64% | 1,33 | -11,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour KV Mechelen vs RSC Anderlecht :
| Statistique | KV Mechelen | RSC Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,68 | 1,41 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 2 |
| Possession | 40% | 60% |
| Tirs | 15 | 18 |
| Tirs cadrés | 8 | 5 |
| Corners | 5 | 4 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 41 | 59 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KV Mechelen | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | -2 | 28 | 1.53 | DWLLWW | 5.9/10 |
| RSC Anderlecht | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | +18 | 44 | 1.52 | WDDWLL | 5.8/10 |
Coming into this game, KV Mechelen has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. KV Mechelen has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.
KV Mechelen has enjoyed playing at home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 3 games.
Le KV Mechelen a enchaîné une bonne série de forme et reste sur 2 matchs sans défaite.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 4 games involving KV Mechelen has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will RSC Anderlecht get in on the action today? There has been a total of 15 goals in the last 5 games for KV Mechelen, both home and away.
KV Mechelen has fired blanks in 9 games this season. That's 41% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored an intriguing 9 goals.
In the last 5 matches for KV Mechelen, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 8 matches (36% of all matches) involving KV Mechelen has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that KV Mechelen will score today, as they have netted in the last 4 games coming into this one and have scored 9 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, RSC Anderlecht has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. RSC Anderlecht has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from RSC Anderlecht away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 5 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Scoring is not an issue for RSC Anderlecht when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 10 games they have played on the road. Can KV Mechelen stop this run?
Momentum is really building for RSC Anderlecht as they have now gone 11 games without losing. They have won 2 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 19 games for RSC Anderlecht ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
RSC Anderlecht is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against KV Mechelen, having won 2 and drawn 3. They have scored 8 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for RSC Anderlecht, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 17 matches (77% of all matches) involving RSC Anderlecht has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that RSC Anderlecht will score today, as they have netted in the last 21 games coming into this one and have scored 8 goals in the last five games.
KV Mechelen a fait match nul contre RSC Anderlecht 2-2 en Jupiler Pro League le jeudi 1 février 2024 à 19:30 au AFAS Stadion (Mechelen (Malines)). xG du match : 1.7 pour KV Mechelen, 1.4 pour RSC Anderlecht. Possession : 40% pour KV Mechelen, 60% pour RSC Anderlecht. Tirs : 15 (dont 8 cadrés) pour KV Mechelen, 18 (dont 5 cadrés) pour RSC Anderlecht. Indice de forme : KV Mechelen 5.9/10, RSC Anderlecht 5.8/10. Sur 15 confrontations directes : 3 victoires KV Mechelen, 6 nuls, 6 victoires RSC Anderlecht.
Score final : KV Mechelen 2-2 RSC Anderlecht. L'algorithme avait prevu RSC Anderlecht (40%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.