Real Madrid vs Atlético Madrid - La Liga - Journee 23 - dimanche 4 février 2024 à 20:00
Stade : Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid)
Score final : Real Madrid 1-1 Atlético Madrid
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Real Madrid favori avec 54% de chances de victoire (nul 26%). L'algorithme avait prévu Real Madrid favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.7 pour Real Madrid, 1.4 pour Atlético Madrid. Real Madrid a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Real Madrid | 54% | 1,78 | -2,0% |
| Match nul ✓ | 26% | 3,80 | 0,0% |
| Victoire Atlético Madrid | 20% | 4,20 | -4,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de La Liga :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 83% | 1,13 | -5,0% |
| Atlético Madrid marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 63% | 1,41 | -8,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 52% | 1,67 | -8,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 48% | 2,10 | 0,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 76% | 1,22 | -6,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 52% | 1,65 | -9,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 30% | 2,75 | -6,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 48% | 2,23 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 70% | 1,47 | +2,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Real Madrid vs Atlético Madrid :
| Statistique | Real Madrid | Atlético Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,72 | 1,35 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 1 |
| Possession | 54% | 46% |
| Tirs | 18 | 12 |
| Tirs cadrés | 5 | 6 |
| Corners | 2 | 8 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 85 | 49 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 22 | 18 | 3 | 1 | +33 | 57 | 1.79 | WWWWDD | 2/10 |
| Atlético Madrid | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | +20 | 47 | 1.47 | WWWWLW | 7.2/10 |
Coming into this game, Real Madrid has picked up 15 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 3 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Real Madrid has scored 11 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Real Madrid is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 5 games that they have played at home.
Superb stuff from Real Madrid at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 10 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Atlético Madrid's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Real Madrid from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 5 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Real Madrid as they have now gone 15 games without losing. They have won 5 of the last 5 games they have played.
Real Madrid is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Atlético Madrid, having won 5 and drawn 0. They have scored 11 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Real Madrid, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 11 matches (52% of all matches) involving Real Madrid has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Real Madrid will score today, as they have netted in the last 9 games coming into this one and have scored 11 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Atlético Madrid has picked up 12 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Atlético Madrid has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.
L'Atlético Madrid enchaîne une bonne série de forme et reste sur 3 matchs sans défaite.
Atlético Madrid has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 5 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 8 occasions.
Atlético Madrid will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Real Madrid, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 4 and drawn 0
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Atlético Madrid has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 11/22 games for Atlético Madrid this season.
It's likely that Atlético Madrid will score today, as they have netted in the last 6 games coming into this one and have scored 9 goals in the last five games.
Real Madrid a fait match nul contre Atlético Madrid 1-1 en La Liga le dimanche 4 février 2024 à 20:00 au Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid). xG du match : 1.7 pour Real Madrid, 1.4 pour Atlético Madrid. Possession : 54% pour Real Madrid, 46% pour Atlético Madrid. Tirs : 18 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Real Madrid, 12 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Atlético Madrid. Indice de forme : Real Madrid 2/10, Atlético Madrid 7.2/10. Sur 49 confrontations directes : 22 victoires Real Madrid, 15 nuls, 12 victoires Atlético Madrid.
Score final : Real Madrid 1-1 Atlético Madrid. L'algorithme avait prevu Real Madrid (54%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.