Górnik Zabrze vs Lech Poznań - Ekstraklasa - Journee 24 - samedi 9 mars 2024 à 19:00
Stade : Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla (Zabrze)
Score final : Górnik Zabrze 0-0 Lech Poznań
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Górnik Zabrze favori avec 35% de chances de victoire (nul 31%). L'algorithme avait prévu Górnik Zabrze favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.2 pour Górnik Zabrze, 1.4 pour Lech Poznań. Lech Poznań a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Górnik Zabrze | 35% | 3,45 | +6,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul ✓ | 31% | 3,20 | 0,0% |
| Victoire Lech Poznań | 33% | 2,18 | -13,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Ekstraklasa :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Górnik Zabrze marque (HS) manqué ✗ | 75% | 1,33 | 0,0% |
| Lech Poznań marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 74% | - | - |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 56% | 1,68 | -4,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 44% | 2,13 | -3,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 76% | 1,28 | -2,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 52% | 1,73 | -6,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 30% | 3,10 | -2,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 48% | 2,00 | -2,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 70% | 1,36 | -4,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Górnik Zabrze vs Lech Poznań :
| Statistique | Górnik Zabrze | Lech Poznań |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,19 | 1,44 |
| Buts marqués | 0 | 0 |
| Possession | 51% | 49% |
| Tirs | 14 | 10 |
| Tirs cadrés | 3 | 6 |
| Corners | 8 | 6 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 57 | 72 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Górnik Zabrze | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | +4 | 35 | 1.42 | WWLDDL | 7.3/10 |
| Lech Poznań | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | +6 | 40 | 1.45 | WDLLDL | 4.1/10 |
Coming into this game, Górnik Zabrze has picked up 12 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Górnik Zabrze has scored 12 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Górnik Zabrze is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 6 games that they have played at home.
Lech Poznań's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Górnik Zabrze from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 6 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 3 home matches this season.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 6 games for Górnik Zabrze ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Górnik Zabrze cherchera à maintenir sa dynamique aujourd'hui contre Lech Poznań, n'ayant perdu qu'1 seul match sur ses 5 derniers. Ils en ont gagné 4 et fait 0 match nul.
In the last 5 matches for Górnik Zabrze, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 13 matches (57% of all matches) involving Górnik Zabrze has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Górnik Zabrze will score today, as they have netted in the last 13 games coming into this one and have scored 12 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Lech Poznań has picked up 8 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Lech Poznań has scored 6 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Lech Poznań will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Górnik Zabrze, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 2 and drawn 2
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Lech Poznań recently, with the side failing to score in 2 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Lech Poznań has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 2 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 13/23 games for Lech Poznań this season.
Lech Poznań will need to improve their attack if they're to get anything out of this game. They have not scored in the last 2 matches. During the last five games they have scored 6 times and overall this season they have scored 1.57 goals per game.
Górnik Zabrze a fait match nul contre Lech Poznań 0-0 en Ekstraklasa le samedi 9 mars 2024 à 19:00 au Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla (Zabrze). xG du match : 1.2 pour Górnik Zabrze, 1.4 pour Lech Poznań. Possession : 51% pour Górnik Zabrze, 49% pour Lech Poznań. Tirs : 14 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Górnik Zabrze, 10 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Lech Poznań. Indice de forme : Górnik Zabrze 7.3/10, Lech Poznań 4.1/10. Sur 29 confrontations directes : 6 victoires Górnik Zabrze, 7 nuls, 16 victoires Lech Poznań.
Score final : Górnik Zabrze 0-0 Lech Poznań. L'algorithme avait prevu Górnik Zabrze (35%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.