KRC Genk vs Union Saint-Gilloise - Jupiler Pro League - Journee 24 - samedi 3 février 2024 à 19:45
Stade : Cegeka Arena (Genk)
Score final : KRC Genk 0-1 Union Saint-Gilloise
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Union Saint-Gilloise favori avec 35% de chances de victoire (nul 33%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.2 pour KRC Genk, 1.4 pour Union Saint-Gilloise. Union Saint-Gilloise a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire KRC Genk | 32% | 2,82 | -3,0% |
| Match nul | 33% | 3,71 | +6,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Union Saint-Gilloise ✓ | 35% | 2,37 | -7,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Jupiler Pro League :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| KRC Genk marque (HS) manqué ✗ | 71% | 1,26 | -8,0% |
| Union Saint-Gilloise marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 73% | 1,21 | -10,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 51% | 1,57 | -13,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 49% | 2,41 | +8,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 72% | 1,22 | -10,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 46% | 1,67 | -14,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 25% | 2,60 | -13,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 54% | 2,05 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 75% | 1,47 | +7,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour KRC Genk vs Union Saint-Gilloise :
| Statistique | KRC Genk | Union Saint-Gilloise |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,16 | 1,41 |
| Buts marqués | 0 | 1 |
| Possession | 52% | 48% |
| Tirs | 11 | 13 |
| Tirs cadrés | 4 | 5 |
| Corners | 8 | 3 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 59 | 50 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KRC Genk | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | +20 | 39 | 1.85 | LLLWLL | 4.6/10 |
| Union Saint-Gilloise | 26 | 17 | 7 | 2 | +26 | 58 | 1.88 | WWDDWW | 7.4/10 |
Coming into this game, KRC Genk has picked up 5 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. KRC Genk has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from KRC Genk at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 10 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Union Saint-Gilloise's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop KRC Genk from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 9 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 2 home matches this season.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 8 games for KRC Genk ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
In the last 5 matches for KRC Genk, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 13 matches (57% of all matches) involving KRC Genk has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that KRC Genk will score today, as they have netted in the last 8 games coming into this one and have scored 7 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Union Saint-Gilloise has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Union Saint-Gilloise has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Union Saint-Gilloise away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 9 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Scoring is not an issue for Union Saint-Gilloise when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 9 games they have played on the road. Can KRC Genk stop this run?
Momentum is really building for Union Saint-Gilloise as they have now gone 16 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
Il est possible que l'on voie quelques buts ici, les 4 derniers matchs de Union Saint-Gilloise s'étant terminés avec 2 buts ou plus.
Union Saint-Gilloise is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against KRC Genk, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 8 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Union Saint-Gilloise, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 14 matches (64% of all matches) involving Union Saint-Gilloise has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Union Saint-Gilloise will score today, as they have netted in the last 16 games coming into this one and have scored 8 goals in the last five games.
KRC Genk a perdu contre Union Saint-Gilloise 0-1 en Jupiler Pro League le samedi 3 février 2024 à 19:45 au Cegeka Arena (Genk). xG du match : 1.2 pour KRC Genk, 1.4 pour Union Saint-Gilloise. Possession : 52% pour KRC Genk, 48% pour Union Saint-Gilloise. Tirs : 11 (dont 4 cadrés) pour KRC Genk, 13 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Union Saint-Gilloise. Indice de forme : KRC Genk 4.6/10, Union Saint-Gilloise 7.4/10. Sur 7 confrontations directes : 2 victoires KRC Genk, 2 nuls, 3 victoires Union Saint-Gilloise.
Score final : KRC Genk 0-1 Union Saint-Gilloise. L'algorithme avait prevu Union Saint-Gilloise (35%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.