Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle United - Premier League - Journee 24 - samedi 10 février 2024 à 17:30
Stade : The City Ground (Nottingham, Nottinghamshire)
Score final : Nottingham Forest 2-3 Newcastle United
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Newcastle United favori avec 37% de chances de victoire (nul 31%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.3 pour Nottingham Forest, 1.2 pour Newcastle United. Nottingham Forest a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Nottingham Forest | 32% | 3,30 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 31% | 3,70 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Newcastle United ✓ | 37% | 2,10 | -11,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Premier League :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 75% | 1,36 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Newcastle United marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 78% | 1,18 | -7,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 58% | 1,62 | -4,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 42% | 2,20 | -3,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 78% | 1,25 | -2,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 55% | 1,62 | -7,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 33% | 2,94 | -1,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 45% | 2,20 | 0,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 67% | 1,43 | -3,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle United :
| Statistique | Nottingham Forest | Newcastle United |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,27 | 1,19 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 3 |
| Possession | 38% | 62% |
| Tirs | 14 | 8 |
| Tirs cadrés | 4 | 6 |
| Corners | 4 | 4 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 58 | 44 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | -13 | 21 | 1.17 | LWWLLD | 3.3/10 |
| Newcastle United | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | +11 | 33 | 1.54 | LLLLWD | 2.1/10 |
Coming into this game, Nottingham Forest has picked up 7 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 5 of those games. Nottingham Forest has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Newcastle United's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Nottingham Forest from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 3 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 2 home matches this season.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 9 games for Nottingham Forest ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
The last 5 games for Nottingham Forest has each seen both teams scoring. Will they improve their defence, or will we see more of the same here? This season Nottingham Forest has seen a total of 15/23 fixtures end with both teams scoring. That's 65% of all matches played.
It's likely that Nottingham Forest will score today, as they have netted in the last 6 games coming into this one and have scored 9 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Newcastle United has picked up 4 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 5 of those games. Newcastle United has scored 12 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Newcastle United a enchaîné une bonne série de forme et reste désormais sur 2 matchs sans défaite.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 5 games involving Newcastle United has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will Nottingham Forest get in on the action today? There has been a total of 27 goals in the last 5 games for Newcastle United, both home and away.
The last 5 games for Newcastle United has each seen both teams scoring. Will they improve their defence, or will we see more of the same here? This season Newcastle United has seen a total of 12/23 fixtures end with both teams scoring. That's 52% of all matches played.
It's likely that Newcastle United will score today, as they have netted in the last 5 games coming into this one and have scored 12 goals in the last five games.
Nottingham Forest a perdu contre Newcastle United 2-3 en Premier League le samedi 10 février 2024 à 17:30 au The City Ground (Nottingham, Nottinghamshire). xG du match : 1.3 pour Nottingham Forest, 1.2 pour Newcastle United. Possession : 38% pour Nottingham Forest, 62% pour Newcastle United. Tirs : 14 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Nottingham Forest, 8 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Newcastle United. Indice de forme : Nottingham Forest 3.3/10, Newcastle United 2.1/10. Sur 10 confrontations directes : 5 victoires Nottingham Forest, 0 nul, 5 victoires Newcastle United.
Score final : Nottingham Forest 2-3 Newcastle United. L'algorithme avait prevu Newcastle United (37%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.