Al Shabab vs Al Hilal - Saudi Pro League - Journee 25 - samedi 30 mars 2024 à 19:00
Stade : Al-Shabab Club Stadium (Riyadh)
Score final : Al Shabab 3-4 Al Hilal
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Al Hilal favori avec 70% de chances de victoire (nul 18%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.7 pour Al Shabab, 1.7 pour Al Hilal. Al Hilal a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Al Shabab | 12% | 5,90 | -5,0% |
| Match nul | 18% | 4,68 | -3,0% |
| Victoire Al Hilal ✓ | 70% | 1,42 | 0,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Saudi Pro League :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Shabab marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 59% | 1,53 | -6,0% |
| Al Hilal marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 91% | 1,09 | -1,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 54% | 1,67 | -6,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 46% | 2,05 | -3,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 84% | 1,18 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 64% | 1,51 | -2,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 42% | 2,40 | 0,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 36% | 2,28 | -8,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 58% | 1,58 | -5,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Al Shabab vs Al Hilal :
| Statistique | Al Shabab | Al Hilal |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,66 | 1,68 |
| Buts marqués | 3 | 4 |
| Possession | 43% | 57% |
| Tirs | 18 | 14 |
| Tirs cadrés | 7 | 8 |
| Corners | 5 | 10 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 39 | 66 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Shabab | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | -4 | 28 | 1.46 | WWLLLW | 5.2/10 |
| Al Hilal | 24 | 22 | 2 | 0 | +59 | 68 | 2.15 | WWWDWW | 2/10 |
Coming into this game, Al Shabab has picked up 7 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Al Shabab has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Al Hilal's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Al Shabab from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 3 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
Al Shabab has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 6 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 9 occasions.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Al Shabab has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 2 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 12/24 games for Al Shabab this season.
Coming into this game, Al Hilal has picked up 15 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 3 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Al Hilal has scored 13 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Incredible away form is being show by Al Hilal and those travelling fans must be loving it. They have won the last 7 and is unbeaten in 11 away trips. Can Al Shabab end their fairytale away days?
Scoring is not an issue for Al Hilal when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 11 games they have played on the road. Can Al Shabab stop this run?
Momentum is really building for Al Hilal as they have now gone 24 games without losing. They have won 5 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 14 games for Al Hilal ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Al Hilal is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Al Shabab, having won 5 and drawn 0. They have scored 13 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Al Hilal, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 11 matches (46% of all matches) involving Al Hilal has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Al Hilal will score today, as they have netted in the last 24 games coming into this one and have scored 13 goals in the last five games.
Al Shabab a perdu contre Al Hilal 3-4 en Saudi Pro League le samedi 30 mars 2024 à 19:00 au Al-Shabab Club Stadium (Riyadh). xG du match : 1.7 pour Al Shabab, 1.7 pour Al Hilal. Possession : 43% pour Al Shabab, 57% pour Al Hilal. Tirs : 18 (dont 7 cadrés) pour Al Shabab, 14 (dont 8 cadrés) pour Al Hilal. Indice de forme : Al Shabab 5.2/10, Al Hilal 2/10. Sur 22 confrontations directes : 3 victoires Al Shabab, 6 nuls, 13 victoires Al Hilal.
Score final : Al Shabab 3-4 Al Hilal. L'algorithme avait prevu Al Hilal (70%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.