Benfica vs GD Estoril Praia - Liga Portugal - Journee 25 - dimanche 10 mars 2024 à 20:30
Stade : Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica (da Luz) (Lisboa)
Score final : Benfica 3-1 GD Estoril Praia
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Benfica favori avec 89% de chances de victoire (nul 8%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.7 pour Benfica, 1.5 pour GD Estoril Praia. Benfica a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Benfica ✓ | 89% | 1,16 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 8% | 7,75 | -5,0% |
| Victoire GD Estoril Praia | 3% | 11,92 | -5,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Liga Portugal :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 97% | 1,02 | -1,0% |
| GD Estoril Praia marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 45% | 1,91 | -7,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 43% | 1,75 | -14,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 57% | 2,00 | +7,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 91% | 1,14 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 76% | 1,35 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 57% | 1,92 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 24% | 2,94 | -10,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 43% | 1,89 | -10,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Benfica vs GD Estoril Praia :
| Statistique | Benfica | GD Estoril Praia |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,72 | 1,53 |
| Buts marqués | 3 | 1 |
| Possession | 66% | 34% |
| Tirs | 15 | 14 |
| Tirs cadrés | 8 | 7 |
| Corners | 6 | 4 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 56 | 48 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica | 24 | 18 | 4 | 2 | +36 | 58 | 1.91 | WWWLWD | 7.8/10 |
| GD Estoril Praia | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | -6 | 22 | 1.39 | LDWLLL | 1.8/10 |
Coming into this game, Benfica has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Benfica has scored 15 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Benfica is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 6 games that they have played at home.
Superb stuff from Benfica at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 12 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Benfica sera confiant à l'idée de marquer aujourd'hui et cherchera à maintenir son record de buts inscrits lors de chaque match à domicile cette saison.
Benfica has had no trouble finding the back of the net recently and has scored in the last 12 home games. They have failed to find the net in 0 home game this season.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 10 games for Benfica ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Benfica will be looking to keep up the momentum today against GD Estoril Praia, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Benfica has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 11/24 games for Benfica this season.
Coming into this game, GD Estoril Praia has picked up 4 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. GD Estoril Praia has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Scoring is not an issue for GD Estoril Praia when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 7 games they have played on the road. Can Benfica stop this run?
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 4 games involving GD Estoril Praia has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will Benfica get in on the action today? There has been a total of 18 goals in the last 5 games for GD Estoril Praia, both home and away.
In the last 5 matches for GD Estoril Praia, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 16 matches (67% of all matches) involving GD Estoril Praia has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that GD Estoril Praia will score today, as they have netted in the last 15 games coming into this one and have scored 7 goals in the last five games.
Benfica a battu GD Estoril Praia 3-1 en Liga Portugal le dimanche 10 mars 2024 à 20:30 au Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica (da Luz) (Lisboa). xG du match : 1.7 pour Benfica, 1.5 pour GD Estoril Praia. Possession : 66% pour Benfica, 34% pour GD Estoril Praia. Tirs : 15 (dont 8 cadrés) pour Benfica, 14 (dont 7 cadrés) pour GD Estoril Praia. Indice de forme : Benfica 7.8/10, GD Estoril Praia 1.8/10. Sur 23 confrontations directes : 19 victoires Benfica, 4 nuls, 0 victoire GD Estoril Praia.
Score final : Benfica 3-1 GD Estoril Praia. L'algorithme avait prevu Benfica (89%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.