FC Arouca vs Sporting CP - Liga Portugal - Journee 25 - dimanche 10 mars 2024 à 18:00
Stade : Estádio Municipal de Arouca (Arouca)
Score final : FC Arouca 0-3 Sporting CP
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Sporting CP favori avec 63% de chances de victoire (nul 22%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.2 pour FC Arouca, 1.3 pour Sporting CP. Sporting CP a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire FC Arouca | 16% | 6,47 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 22% | 4,85 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Sporting CP ✓ | 63% | 1,40 | -8,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Liga Portugal :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Arouca marque (HS) manqué ✗ | 63% | 1,65 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Sporting CP marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 89% | 1,08 | -4,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 56% | 1,91 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 44% | 1,91 | -8,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 82% | 1,16 | -4,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 61% | 1,60 | -2,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 39% | 2,51 | -1,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 39% | 2,19 | -7,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 61% | 1,53 | -4,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour FC Arouca vs Sporting CP :
| Statistique | FC Arouca | Sporting CP |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,17 | 1,33 |
| Buts marqués | 0 | 3 |
| Possession | 62% | 38% |
| Tirs | 13 | 12 |
| Tirs cadrés | 3 | 6 |
| Corners | 2 | 0 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 53 | 46 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Arouca | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | +10 | 34 | 1.37 | WDDDLL | 8.5/10 |
| Sporting CP | 23 | 19 | 2 | 2 | +42 | 59 | 1.88 | WWDWWW | 9.7/10 |
Coming into this game, FC Arouca has picked up 12 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. FC Arouca has scored 13 times in the last 5 fixtures.
FC Arouca is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 3 games that they have played at home.
Sporting CP's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop FC Arouca from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 3 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 5 home matches this season.
Le FC Arouca a enchaîné une bonne série de résultats et reste maintenant sur 2 matchs sans défaite.
FC Arouca will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Sporting CP, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 4 and drawn 0
In the last 5 matches for FC Arouca, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 13 matches (54% of all matches) involving FC Arouca has seen BTTS landing.
Coming into this game, Sporting CP has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Sporting CP has scored 21 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Sporting CP away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 5 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Scoring is not an issue for Sporting CP when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 11 games they have played on the road. Can FC Arouca stop this run?
Momentum is really building for Sporting CP as they have now gone 10 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 20 games for Sporting CP ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Sporting CP has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 5 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 9 occasions.
Sporting CP is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against FC Arouca, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 21 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Sporting CP has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 14/23 games for Sporting CP this season.
It's likely that Sporting CP will score today, as they have netted in the last 23 games coming into this one and have scored 21 goals in the last five games.
FC Arouca a perdu contre Sporting CP 0-3 en Liga Portugal le dimanche 10 mars 2024 à 18:00 au Estádio Municipal de Arouca (Arouca). xG du match : 1.2 pour FC Arouca, 1.3 pour Sporting CP. Possession : 62% pour FC Arouca, 38% pour Sporting CP. Tirs : 13 (dont 3 cadrés) pour FC Arouca, 12 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Sporting CP. Indice de forme : FC Arouca 8.5/10, Sporting CP 9.7/10. Sur 13 confrontations directes : 1 victoire FC Arouca, 1 nul, 11 victoires Sporting CP.
Score final : FC Arouca 0-3 Sporting CP. L'algorithme avait prevu Sporting CP (63%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.