Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor - Süper Lig - Journee 25 - dimanche 11 février 2024 à 16:00
Stade : Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi (İstanbul)
Score final : Fenerbahçe 2-2 Alanyaspor
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Fenerbahçe favori avec 78% de chances de victoire (nul 14%). L'algorithme avait prévu Fenerbahçe favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 2.5 pour Fenerbahçe, 0.8 pour Alanyaspor. Fenerbahçe a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Fenerbahçe | 78% | 1,22 | -4,0% |
| Match nul ✓ | 14% | 6,00 | -3,0% |
| Victoire Alanyaspor | 8% | 12,00 | 0,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Süper Lig :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahçe marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 93% | 1,02 | -5,0% |
| Alanyaspor marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 53% | 1,80 | -3,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 50% | 1,83 | -5,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 50% | 1,83 | -5,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 86% | 1,10 | -5,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 67% | 1,37 | -6,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 46% | 2,00 | -4,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 33% | 2,94 | -1,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 54% | 1,73 | -4,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor :
| Statistique | Fenerbahçe | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 2,46 | 0,78 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 2 |
| Possession | 64% | 36% |
| Tirs | 26 | 6 |
| Tirs cadrés | 9 | 4 |
| Corners | 9 | 0 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 114 | 16 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahçe | 24 | 20 | 3 | 1 | +45 | 63 | 1.96 | DWDWWW | 9.3/10 |
| Alanyaspor | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | -8 | 27 | 1.34 | WWDDDD | 3.2/10 |
Coming into this game, Fenerbahçe has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Fenerbahçe has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Fenerbahçe at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 6 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Alanyaspor's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Fenerbahçe from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 3 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Fenerbahçe as they have now gone 13 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
Fenerbahçe has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 12 occasions.
Fenerbahçe is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Alanyaspor, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 7 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Fenerbahçe has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 12/24 games for Fenerbahçe this season.
It's likely that Fenerbahçe will score today, as they have netted in the last 7 games coming into this one and have scored 7 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Alanyaspor has picked up 5 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 5 of those games. Alanyaspor has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 6 games for Alanyaspor ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Alanyaspor has fired blanks in 9 games this season. That's 38% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored an intriguing 7 goals.
The last 5 games for Alanyaspor has each seen both teams scoring. Will they improve their defence, or will we see more of the same here? This season Alanyaspor has seen a total of 13/24 fixtures end with both teams scoring. That's 54% of all matches played.
Il est probable qu'Alanyaspor marque aujourd'hui, ayant trouvé le chemin des filets lors de ses 6 derniers matchs avant celui-ci et ayant inscrit 7 buts lors des cinq dernières rencontres.
Fenerbahçe a fait match nul contre Alanyaspor 2-2 en Süper Lig le dimanche 11 février 2024 à 16:00 au Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi (İstanbul). xG du match : 2.5 pour Fenerbahçe, 0.8 pour Alanyaspor. Possession : 64% pour Fenerbahçe, 36% pour Alanyaspor. Tirs : 26 (dont 9 cadrés) pour Fenerbahçe, 6 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Alanyaspor. Indice de forme : Fenerbahçe 9.3/10, Alanyaspor 3.2/10. Sur 15 confrontations directes : 9 victoires Fenerbahçe, 3 nuls, 3 victoires Alanyaspor.
Score final : Fenerbahçe 2-2 Alanyaspor. L'algorithme avait prevu Fenerbahçe (78%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.