Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Hamburger SV - 2. Bundesliga - Journee 25 - vendredi 8 mars 2024 à 17:30
Stade : Merkur Spiel-Arena (Düsseldorf)
Score final : Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-0 Hamburger SV
L'algorithme Pronalgo avait estimé ce match très équilibré (35% / 30% / 35%). L'algorithme avait prévu un match équilibré, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 0.9 pour Fortuna Düsseldorf, 1.0 pour Hamburger SV. Hamburger SV a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Fortuna Düsseldorf ✓ | 35% | 2,37 | -7,0% |
| Match nul | 30% | 3,60 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Hamburger SV | 35% | 2,45 | -6,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de 2. Bundesliga :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Düsseldorf marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 78% | 1,18 | -7,0% |
| Hamburger SV marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 78% | 1,19 | -6,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 61% | 1,42 | -9,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 39% | 2,75 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 81% | 1,14 | -7,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 59% | 1,50 | -8,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 36% | 2,15 | -11,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 41% | 2,40 | -1,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 64% | 1,65 | +3,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Hamburger SV :
| Statistique | Fortuna Düsseldorf | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 0,95 | 0,98 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 0 |
| Possession | 37% | 63% |
| Tirs | 9 | 13 |
| Tirs cadrés | 5 | 0 |
| Corners | 4 | 1 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 30 | 71 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Düsseldorf | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | +16 | 37 | 1.56 | LLDDWD | 3.7/10 |
| Hamburger SV | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | +12 | 41 | 1.76 | LWLDWL | 3.1/10 |
Coming into this game, Fortuna Düsseldorf has picked up 6 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Fortuna Düsseldorf has scored 10 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Fortuna Düsseldorf has enjoyed playing at home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.
Hamburger SV's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Fortuna Düsseldorf from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 3 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Fortuna Düsseldorf as they have now gone 4 games without losing. They have won 1 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 8 games for Fortuna Düsseldorf ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Fortuna Düsseldorf will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Hamburger SV, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 1 and drawn 3
In the last 5 matches for Fortuna Düsseldorf, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 16 matches (67% of all matches) involving Fortuna Düsseldorf has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Fortuna Düsseldorf will score today, as they have netted in the last 8 games coming into this one and have scored 10 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Hamburger SV has picked up 7 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Hamburger SV has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Hamburger SV away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 5 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Scoring is not an issue for Hamburger SV when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 12 games they have played on the road. Can Fortuna Düsseldorf stop this run?
In the last 5 matches for Hamburger SV, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 15 matches (63% of all matches) involving Hamburger SV has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Hamburger SV will score today, as they have netted in the last 24 games coming into this one and have scored 9 goals in the last five games.
Fortuna Düsseldorf a battu Hamburger SV 2-0 en 2. Bundesliga le vendredi 8 mars 2024 à 17:30 au Merkur Spiel-Arena (Düsseldorf). xG du match : 0.9 pour Fortuna Düsseldorf, 1.0 pour Hamburger SV. Possession : 37% pour Fortuna Düsseldorf, 63% pour Hamburger SV. Tirs : 9 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Fortuna Düsseldorf, 13 (dont 0 cadrés) pour Hamburger SV. Indice de forme : Fortuna Düsseldorf 3.7/10, Hamburger SV 3.1/10. Sur 10 confrontations directes : 1 victoire Fortuna Düsseldorf, 5 nuls, 4 victoires Hamburger SV.
Score final : Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-0 Hamburger SV. L'algorithme avait prevu match nul (30%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.