Atalanta vs Bologna - Serie A - Journee 27 - dimanche 3 mars 2024 à 17:00
Stade : Gewiss Stadium (Bergamo)
Score final : Atalanta 1-2 Bologna
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Atalanta favori avec 54% de chances de victoire (nul 27%). L'algorithme avait prévu Atalanta favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.0 pour Atalanta, 1.3 pour Bologna. Bologna a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Atalanta | 54% | 1,95 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 27% | 3,45 | -2,0% |
| Victoire Bologna ✓ | 19% | 4,00 | -6,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Serie A :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 81% | 1,22 | -1,0% |
| Bologna marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 59% | 1,51 | -7,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 48% | 1,95 | -3,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 52% | 1,80 | -4,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 73% | 1,36 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 47% | 1,88 | -6,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 26% | 3,75 | -1,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 53% | 1,88 | 0,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 74% | 1,28 | -4,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Atalanta vs Bologna :
| Statistique | Atalanta | Bologna |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,01 | 1,28 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 2 |
| Possession | 55% | 45% |
| Tirs | 13 | 13 |
| Tirs cadrés | 3 | 7 |
| Corners | 6 | 2 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 64 | 30 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | +20 | 46 | 1.59 | WWWWWL | 7/10 |
| Bologna | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | +16 | 48 | 1.33 | WDDWDL | 9.5/10 |
Coming into this game, Atalanta has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Atalanta has scored 11 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Atalanta is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 7 games that they have played at home.
Bologna's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Atalanta from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 10 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 8 games for Atalanta ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Atalanta will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Bologna, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
In the last 5 matches for Atalanta, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 12 matches (46% of all matches) involving Atalanta has seen BTTS landing.
Coming into this game, Bologna has picked up 15 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 3 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Bologna has scored 14 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Bologne a aimé jouer à l'extérieur récemment, l'équipe étant actuellement sur une série d'invincibilité de 2 matchs.
Momentum is really building for Bologna as they have now gone 6 games without losing. They have won 5 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 9 games for Bologna ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Bologna has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 3 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 11 occasions.
Bologna is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Atalanta, having won 5 and drawn 0. They have scored 14 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Bologna has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 5 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 13/26 games for Bologna this season.
It's likely that Bologna will score today, as they have netted in the last 8 games coming into this one and have scored 14 goals in the last five games.
Atalanta a perdu contre Bologna 1-2 en Serie A le dimanche 3 mars 2024 à 17:00 au Gewiss Stadium (Bergamo). xG du match : 1.0 pour Atalanta, 1.3 pour Bologna. Possession : 55% pour Atalanta, 45% pour Bologna. Tirs : 13 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Atalanta, 13 (dont 7 cadrés) pour Bologna. Indice de forme : Atalanta 7/10, Bologna 9.5/10. Sur 27 confrontations directes : 15 victoires Atalanta, 5 nuls, 7 victoires Bologna.
Score final : Atalanta 1-2 Bologna. L'algorithme avait prevu Atalanta (54%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.