AVS vs Santa Clara - Liga Pro - Journee 27 - samedi 30 mars 2024 à 15:30
Stade : Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves (Vila das Aves)
Score final : AVS 1-2 Santa Clara
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit AVS favori avec 36% de chances de victoire (nul 32%). L'algorithme avait prévu AVS favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.3 pour AVS, 1.0 pour Santa Clara. AVS a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire AVS | 36% | 2,52 | -4,0% |
| Match nul | 32% | 2,99 | -1,0% |
| Victoire Santa Clara ✓ | 32% | 2,57 | -7,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Liga Pro :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| AVS marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 74% | 1,40 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Santa Clara marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 72% | 1,40 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 54% | 2,00 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 46% | 1,75 | -11,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 74% | 1,45 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 49% | 2,40 | +7,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 27% | 4,75 | +6,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 51% | 1,50 | -16,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 73% | 1,18 | -12,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour AVS vs Santa Clara :
| Statistique | AVS | Santa Clara |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,32 | 1,04 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 2 |
| Possession | 61% | 39% |
| Tirs | 8 | 7 |
| Tirs cadrés | 4 | 4 |
| Corners | 6 | 3 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 74 | 52 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVS | 26 | 18 | 2 | 6 | +16 | 56 | 1.53 | WWWWWD | 8.5/10 |
| Santa Clara | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | +22 | 56 | 1.57 | WWWDWL | 6.7/10 |
Coming into this game, AVS has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. AVS has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
AVS is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 4 games that they have played at home.
Santa Clara's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop AVS from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 7 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 3 home matches this season.
La dynamique est vraiment positive pour AVS qui enchaîne désormais 6 matchs sans défaite. Ils ont remporté 4 de leurs 5 derniers matchs disputés.
AVS has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 3 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 11 occasions.
AVS is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Santa Clara, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 8 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for AVS has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 13/26 games for AVS this season.
It's likely that AVS will score today, as they have netted in the last 15 games coming into this one and have scored 8 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Santa Clara has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Santa Clara has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Santa Clara away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 13 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Scoring is not an issue for Santa Clara when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 6 games they have played on the road. Can AVS stop this run?
Santa Clara will be looking to keep up the momentum today against AVS, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Santa Clara has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 12/26 games for Santa Clara this season.
AVS a perdu contre Santa Clara 1-2 en Liga Pro le samedi 30 mars 2024 à 15:30 au Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves (Vila das Aves). xG du match : 1.3 pour AVS, 1.0 pour Santa Clara. Possession : 61% pour AVS, 39% pour Santa Clara. Tirs : 8 (dont 4 cadrés) pour AVS, 7 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Santa Clara. Indice de forme : AVS 8.5/10, Santa Clara 6.7/10. Sur 1 confrontations directes : 0 victoire AVS, 0 nul, 1 victoire Santa Clara.
Score final : AVS 1-2 Santa Clara. L'algorithme avait prevu AVS (36%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.