Dunkerque vs Concarneau - Ligue 2 - Journee 27 - samedi 2 mars 2024 à 18:00
Stade : Stade Marcel-Tribut (Dunkerque)
Score final : Dunkerque 2-2 Concarneau
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Dunkerque favori avec 37% de chances de victoire (nul 34%). L'algorithme avait prévu Dunkerque favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.1 pour Dunkerque, 1.5 pour Concarneau. Concarneau a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Dunkerque | 37% | 2,30 | -6,0% |
| Match nul ✓ | 34% | 3,15 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Concarneau | 29% | 3,01 | -4,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Ligue 2 :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 70% | 1,32 | -6,0% |
| Concarneau marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 65% | 1,44 | -4,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 46% | 1,91 | -6,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 54% | 1,77 | -2,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 66% | 1,42 | -4,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 40% | 2,16 | -6,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 19% | 4,33 | -4,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 60% | 1,62 | -2,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 81% | 1,20 | -2,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Dunkerque vs Concarneau :
| Statistique | Dunkerque | Concarneau |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,09 | 1,48 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 2 |
| Possession | 48% | 52% |
| Tirs | 9 | 15 |
| Tirs cadrés | 5 | 8 |
| Corners | 2 | 5 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 40 | 40 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | -13 | 30 | 1.33 | WLLWDD | 8.6/10 |
| Concarneau | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 32 | 1.28 | WLWWDL | 5/10 |
Coming into this game, Dunkerque has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Dunkerque has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Dunkerque is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 3 games that they have played at home.
Concarneau's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Dunkerque from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 3 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 7 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Dunkerque as they have now gone 7 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
Dunkerque is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Concarneau, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 7 goals in those 5 games.
Dunkerque has fired blanks in 11 games this season. That's 42% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored an intriguing 7 goals.
In the last 5 matches for Dunkerque, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 10 matches (38% of all matches) involving Dunkerque has seen BTTS landing.
Coming into this game, Concarneau has picked up 7 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Concarneau has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 3 games involving Concarneau has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will Dunkerque get in on the action today? There has been a total of 13 goals in the last 5 games for Concarneau, both home and away.
Concarneau has fired blanks in 11 games this season. That's 42% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 7 goals.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Concarneau has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 2 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 9/26 games for Concarneau this season.
It's likely that Concarneau will score today, as they have netted in the last 4 games coming into this one and have scored 7 goals in the last five games.
Dunkerque a fait match nul contre Concarneau 2-2 en Ligue 2 le samedi 2 mars 2024 à 18:00 au Stade Marcel-Tribut (Dunkerque). xG du match : 1.1 pour Dunkerque, 1.5 pour Concarneau. Possession : 48% pour Dunkerque, 52% pour Concarneau. Tirs : 9 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Dunkerque, 15 (dont 8 cadrés) pour Concarneau. Indice de forme : Dunkerque 8.6/10, Concarneau 5/10. Sur 10 confrontations directes : 6 victoires Dunkerque, 0 nul, 4 victoires Concarneau.
Score final : Dunkerque 2-2 Concarneau. L'algorithme avait prevu Dunkerque (37%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.