Estrela Amadora vs Sporting CP - Liga Portugal - Journee 27 - vendredi 29 mars 2024 à 20:30
Stade : Estádio José Gomes (Amadora)
Score final : Estrela Amadora 1-2 Sporting CP
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Sporting CP favori avec 72% de chances de victoire (nul 17%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 0.9 pour Estrela Amadora, 1.9 pour Sporting CP. Sporting CP a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Estrela Amadora | 11% | 10,00 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 17% | 6,00 | 0,0% |
| Victoire Sporting CP ✓ | 72% | 1,27 | -7,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Liga Portugal :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela Amadora marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 59% | 2,00 | +9,0% (value bet) |
| Sporting CP marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 92% | 1,05 | -3,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 55% | 2,10 | +7,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 45% | 1,67 | -15,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 86% | 1,17 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 67% | 1,55 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 45% | 2,38 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 33% | 2,35 | -10,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 55% | 1,53 | -10,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Estrela Amadora vs Sporting CP :
| Statistique | Estrela Amadora | Sporting CP |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 0,92 | 1,95 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 2 |
| Possession | 38% | 62% |
| Tirs | 9 | 22 |
| Tirs cadrés | 5 | 8 |
| Corners | 3 | 7 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 18 | 61 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela Amadora | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | -13 | 26 | 1.16 | DDLDLW | 4.4/10 |
| Sporting CP | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | +50 | 65 | 1.89 | WWDWWW | 2/10 |
Coming into this game, Estrela Amadora has picked up 5 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Estrela Amadora has scored 4 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Estrela Amadora has enjoyed playing at home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 3 games.
Sporting CP's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Estrela Amadora from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 7 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 3 home matches this season.
Estrela Amadora a enchaîné une bonne série de forme et reste sur 2 matchs sans défaite.
Les choses n'ont pas été si faciles devant le but pour Estrela Amadora récemment, l'équipe n'ayant pas réussi à marquer lors de 3 de ses 5 derniers matchs. L'entraîneur va-t-il changer ses tactiques aujourd'hui ou lancer un autre attaquant ?
Estrela Amadora has fired blanks in 10 games this season. That's 38% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 4 goals.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Estrela Amadora has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 1 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 13/26 games for Estrela Amadora this season.
Coming into this game, Sporting CP has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Sporting CP has scored 17 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Sporting CP away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 6 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Scoring is not an issue for Sporting CP when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 12 games they have played on the road. Can Estrela Amadora stop this run?
Momentum is really building for Sporting CP as they have now gone 12 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 22 games for Sporting CP ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Sporting CP is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Estrela Amadora, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 17 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Sporting CP, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 15 matches (60% of all matches) involving Sporting CP has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Sporting CP will score today, as they have netted in the last 25 games coming into this one and have scored 17 goals in the last five games.
Estrela Amadora a perdu contre Sporting CP 1-2 en Liga Portugal le vendredi 29 mars 2024 à 20:30 au Estádio José Gomes (Amadora). xG du match : 0.9 pour Estrela Amadora, 1.9 pour Sporting CP. Possession : 38% pour Estrela Amadora, 62% pour Sporting CP. Tirs : 9 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Estrela Amadora, 22 (dont 8 cadrés) pour Sporting CP. Indice de forme : Estrela Amadora 4.4/10, Sporting CP 2/10. Sur 2 confrontations directes : 0 victoire Estrela Amadora, 0 nul, 2 victoires Sporting CP.
Score final : Estrela Amadora 1-2 Sporting CP. L'algorithme avait prevu Sporting CP (72%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.