FC Arouca vs Farense - Liga Portugal - Journee 27 - samedi 30 mars 2024 à 15:30
Stade : Estádio Municipal de Arouca (Arouca)
Score final : FC Arouca 2-1 Farense
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit FC Arouca favori avec 56% de chances de victoire (nul 25%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 3.0 pour FC Arouca, 1.4 pour Farense. FC Arouca a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire FC Arouca ✓ | 56% | 1,76 | -1,0% |
| Match nul | 25% | 3,65 | -2,0% |
| Victoire Farense | 18% | 4,20 | -6,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Liga Portugal :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Arouca marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 83% | 1,15 | -4,0% |
| Farense marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 61% | 1,50 | -6,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 50% | 1,80 | -6,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 50% | 1,95 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 75% | 1,30 | -2,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 51% | 1,90 | -2,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 29% | 3,40 | 0,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 49% | 1,94 | -3,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 71% | 1,33 | -4,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour FC Arouca vs Farense :
| Statistique | FC Arouca | Farense |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 2,98 | 1,39 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 1 |
| Possession | 64% | 36% |
| Tirs | 29 | 14 |
| Tirs cadrés | 16 | 6 |
| Corners | 13 | 4 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 57 | 29 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Arouca | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | +6 | 34 | 1.34 | WDDDLL | 4.2/10 |
| Farense | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | -4 | 27 | 1.26 | DLLLLD | 0.8/10 |
Coming into this game, FC Arouca has picked up 6 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. FC Arouca has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for FC Arouca recently, with the side failing to score in 3 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
FC Arouca has fired blanks in 10 games this season. That's 38% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 8 goals.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for FC Arouca has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 2 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 13/26 games for FC Arouca this season.
FC Arouca will need to improve their attack if they're to get anything out of this game. They have not scored in the last 2 matches. During the last five games they have scored 8 times and overall this season they have scored 1.65 goals per game.
Coming into this game, Farense has picked up 1 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Farense has scored 5 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Scoring is not an issue for Farense when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 5 games they have played on the road. Can FC Arouca stop this run?
Can Farense turn this around? They have not won in the last 5 games coming into this, with 1 draws and 4 defeats.
In the last 5 matches for Farense, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 15 matches (58% of all matches) involving Farense has seen BTTS landing.
FC Arouca a battu Farense 2-1 en Liga Portugal le samedi 30 mars 2024 à 15:30 au Estádio Municipal de Arouca (Arouca). xG du match : 3.0 pour FC Arouca, 1.4 pour Farense. Possession : 64% pour FC Arouca, 36% pour Farense. Tirs : 29 (dont 16 cadrés) pour FC Arouca, 14 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Farense. Indice de forme : FC Arouca 4.2/10, Farense 0.8/10. Sur 4 confrontations directes : 1 victoire FC Arouca, 2 nuls, 1 victoire Farense.
Score final : FC Arouca 2-1 Farense. L'algorithme avait prevu FC Arouca (56%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.