Paços de Ferreira vs UD Oliveirense - Liga Pro - Journee 27 - vendredi 29 mars 2024 à 14:00
Stade : Estádio da Capital do Móvel (Paços de Ferreira)
Score final : Paços de Ferreira 2-0 UD Oliveirense
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Paços de Ferreira favori avec 59% de chances de victoire (nul 24%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.3 pour Paços de Ferreira, 2.1 pour UD Oliveirense. UD Oliveirense a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Paços de Ferreira ✓ | 59% | 1,44 | -10,0% |
| Match nul | 24% | 3,80 | -2,0% |
| Victoire UD Oliveirense | 17% | 6,00 | 0,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Liga Pro :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paços de Ferreira marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 85% | 1,13 | -3,0% |
| UD Oliveirense marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 61% | 1,73 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 52% | 1,95 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 48% | 1,80 | -8,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 78% | 1,28 | 0,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 54% | 1,88 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 32% | 3,30 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 46% | 1,77 | -10,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 68% | 1,30 | -9,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Paços de Ferreira vs UD Oliveirense :
| Statistique | Paços de Ferreira | UD Oliveirense |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,29 | 2,14 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 0 |
| Possession | 54% | 46% |
| Tirs | 12 | 15 |
| Tirs cadrés | 4 | 9 |
| Corners | 5 | 7 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 69 | 87 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paços de Ferreira | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | +5 | 37 | 1.53 | LDWWWD | 6.2/10 |
| UD Oliveirense | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -15 | 24 | 1.32 | LDLLLD | 0.6/10 |
Coming into this game, Paços de Ferreira has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Paços de Ferreira has scored 6 times in the last 5 fixtures.
UD Oliveirense's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Paços de Ferreira from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 3 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 3 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Paços de Ferreira as they have now gone 5 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
Paços de Ferreira has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 9 occasions.
Paços de Ferreira is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against UD Oliveirense, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 6 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Paços de Ferreira has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 12/26 games for Paços de Ferreira this season.
It's likely that Paços de Ferreira will score today, as they have netted in the last 7 games coming into this one and have scored 6 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, UD Oliveirense has picked up 2 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. UD Oliveirense has scored 3 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Can UD Oliveirense turn this around? They have not won in the last 5 games coming into this, with 2 draws and 3 defeats.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for UD Oliveirense recently, with the side failing to score in 3 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Just 2 of the last 5 games for UD Oliveirense has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 0 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 15/26 games for UD Oliveirense this season.
Paços de Ferreira a battu UD Oliveirense 2-0 en Liga Pro le vendredi 29 mars 2024 à 14:00 au Estádio da Capital do Móvel (Paços de Ferreira). xG du match : 1.3 pour Paços de Ferreira, 2.1 pour UD Oliveirense. Possession : 54% pour Paços de Ferreira, 46% pour UD Oliveirense. Tirs : 12 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Paços de Ferreira, 15 (dont 9 cadrés) pour UD Oliveirense. Indice de forme : Paços de Ferreira 6.2/10, UD Oliveirense 0.6/10. Sur 5 confrontations directes : 3 victoires Paços de Ferreira, 1 nul, 1 victoire UD Oliveirense.
Score final : Paços de Ferreira 2-0 UD Oliveirense. L'algorithme avait prevu Paços de Ferreira (59%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.