Beşiktaş vs Galatasaray - Süper Lig - Journee 28 - dimanche 3 mars 2024 à 16:00
Stade : Tüpraş Stadyumu (İstanbul)
Score final : Beşiktaş 0-1 Galatasaray
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Galatasaray favori avec 60% de chances de victoire (nul 24%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.0 pour Beşiktaş, 1.2 pour Galatasaray. Galatasaray a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Beşiktaş | 16% | 3,70 | -11,0% |
| Match nul | 24% | 3,90 | -2,0% |
| Victoire Galatasaray ✓ | 60% | 1,90 | +7,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Süper Lig :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beşiktaş marque (HS) manqué ✗ | 55% | 1,32 | -21,0% |
| Galatasaray marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 84% | 1,14 | -4,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 46% | 1,50 | -21,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 54% | 2,50 | +14,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 74% | 1,15 | -13,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 49% | 1,53 | -16,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 27% | 2,21 | -18,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 51% | 2,35 | +8,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 73% | 1,59 | +10,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Beşiktaş vs Galatasaray :
| Statistique | Beşiktaş | Galatasaray |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,01 | 1,16 |
| Buts marqués | 0 | 1 |
| Possession | 48% | 52% |
| Tirs | 12 | 14 |
| Tirs cadrés | 4 | 4 |
| Corners | 4 | 11 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 38 | 51 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beşiktaş | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | +8 | 46 | 1.46 | WLWDDL | 6.8/10 |
| Galatasaray | 27 | 23 | 3 | 1 | +42 | 72 | 1.97 | WWWWLW | 2/10 |
Coming into this game, Beşiktaş has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 0 of those games. Beşiktaş has scored 6 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Beşiktaş has enjoyed playing at home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 4 games.
Momentum is really building for Beşiktaş as they have now gone 4 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
Beşiktaş has kept 4 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 1 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 13 occasions.
Beşiktaş will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Galatasaray, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Beşiktaş recently, with the side failing to score in 2 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Just 0 of the last 5 games for Beşiktaş has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 11/27 games for Beşiktaş this season.
Coming into this game, Galatasaray has picked up 15 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 3 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Galatasaray has scored 11 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Galatasaray away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 6 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Momentum is really building for Galatasaray as they have now gone 15 games without losing. They have won 5 of the last 5 games they have played.
Il est possible que nous voyions quelques buts ici, les 10 derniers matchs de Galatasaray s'étant terminés avec 2 buts ou plus inscrits.
Galatasaray has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 14 occasions.
Galatasaray is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Beşiktaş, having won 5 and drawn 0. They have scored 11 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Galatasaray has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 5 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 13/27 games for Galatasaray this season.
It's likely that Galatasaray will score today, as they have netted in the last 10 games coming into this one and have scored 11 goals in the last five games.
Beşiktaş a perdu contre Galatasaray 0-1 en Süper Lig le dimanche 3 mars 2024 à 16:00 au Tüpraş Stadyumu (İstanbul). xG du match : 1.0 pour Beşiktaş, 1.2 pour Galatasaray. Possession : 48% pour Beşiktaş, 52% pour Galatasaray. Tirs : 12 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Beşiktaş, 14 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Galatasaray. Indice de forme : Beşiktaş 6.8/10, Galatasaray 2/10. Sur 19 confrontations directes : 9 victoires Beşiktaş, 2 nuls, 8 victoires Galatasaray.
Score final : Beşiktaş 0-1 Galatasaray. L'algorithme avait prevu Galatasaray (60%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.