Bristol City vs Watford - Championship - Journee 28 - samedi 20 janvier 2024 à 15:00
Stade : Ashton Gate Stadium (Bristol)
Score final : Bristol City 1-1 Watford
L'algorithme Pronalgo avait estimé ce match très équilibré (34% / 34% / 33%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.6 pour Bristol City, 1.0 pour Watford. Bristol City a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Bristol City | 34% | 2,31 | -9,0% |
| Match nul ✓ | 34% | 3,20 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Watford | 33% | 3,05 | 0,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Championship :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol City marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 73% | 1,29 | -5,0% |
| Watford marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 72% | 1,36 | -2,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 53% | 1,80 | -3,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 47% | 1,91 | -5,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 73% | 1,33 | -2,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 48% | 2,07 | 0,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 26% | 3,55 | -2,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 52% | 1,69 | -7,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 74% | 1,29 | -4,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Bristol City vs Watford :
| Statistique | Bristol City | Watford |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,56 | 0,99 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 1 |
| Possession | 47% | 53% |
| Tirs | 17 | 15 |
| Tirs cadrés | 7 | 3 |
| Corners | 7 | 9 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 50 | 37 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol City | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 36 | 1.20 | DWDDWL | 4.7/10 |
| Watford | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | +7 | 39 | 1.44 | DDLDWL | 6.2/10 |
Coming into this game, Bristol City has picked up 7 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Bristol City has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Les choses ne se passent pas si bien devant le but pour Bristol City ces derniers temps, l'équipe n'ayant pas réussi à marquer lors de 3 de ses 5 derniers matchs. L'entraîneur va-t-il changer ses tactiques aujourd'hui, ou lancer un autre attaquant ?
Bristol City has fired blanks in 10 games this season. That's 37% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 7 goals.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Bristol City has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 2 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 13/27 games for Bristol City this season.
Bristol City will need to improve their attack if they're to get anything out of this game. They have not scored in the last 3 matches. During the last five games they have scored 7 times and overall this season they have scored 1.11 goals per game.
Coming into this game, Watford has picked up 8 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 5 of those games. Watford has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Watford away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 5 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Scoring is not an issue for Watford when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 5 games they have played on the road. Can Bristol City stop this run?
Watford has put together a good run of form and has now gone 3 games without defeat.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 12 games for Watford ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Watford will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Bristol City, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 2 and drawn 2
The last 5 games for Watford has each seen both teams scoring. Will they improve their defence, or will we see more of the same here? This season Watford has seen a total of 15/27 fixtures end with both teams scoring. That's 56% of all matches played.
It's likely that Watford will score today, as they have netted in the last 10 games coming into this one and have scored 9 goals in the last five games.
Bristol City a fait match nul contre Watford 1-1 en Championship le samedi 20 janvier 2024 à 15:00 au Ashton Gate Stadium (Bristol). xG du match : 1.6 pour Bristol City, 1.0 pour Watford. Possession : 47% pour Bristol City, 53% pour Watford. Tirs : 17 (dont 7 cadrés) pour Bristol City, 15 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Watford. Indice de forme : Bristol City 4.7/10, Watford 6.2/10. Sur 19 confrontations directes : 5 victoires Bristol City, 7 nuls, 7 victoires Watford.
Score final : Bristol City 1-1 Watford. L'algorithme avait prevu match nul (34%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.