Watford vs Middlesbrough - Championship - Journee 15 - samedi 7 novembre 2026 à 15:00
Stade : Vicarage Road
Selon l'algorithme Pronalgo, Middlesbrough est favori de ce match avec 54% de chances de s'imposer.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Watford | 23% | 5,96 | +6,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 24% | 4,60 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Middlesbrough | 54% | 1,48 | -14,0% |
Un edge positif signale un value bet : la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépasse la probabilité implicite de la cote (1/cote).
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Championship :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Watford marque (HS) | 71% | 1,43 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Middlesbrough marque (AS) | 87% | 1,05 | -8,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) | 62% | 1,54 | -3,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) | 38% | 2,28 | -6,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) | 84% | 1,08 | -9,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) | 63% | 1,38 | -9,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) | 41% | 2,08 | -7,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) | 37% | 2,62 | -1,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) | 59% | 1,70 | 0,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Watford vs Middlesbrough :
| Statistique | Watford | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,31 | 2,08 |
| Buts marqués | 0,93 | 2,14 |
| Possession | 46,43% | 59,86% |
| Tirs | 12,36 | 19,21 |
| Tirs cadrés | 3,93 | 6,29 |
| Corners | 3,64 | 6,14 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 35,36 | 59,57 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -10 | 14 | 1.31 | LLWLLW | 2.7/10 |
| Middlesbrough | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | +11 | 28 | 2.08 | WWDWWL | 7.2/10 |
Coming into this game, Watford has picked up 6 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Watford has scored 6 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Watford has fired blanks in 5 games this season. That's 36% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 6 goals.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Watford has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 2 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 7/14 games for Watford this season.
Coming into this game, Middlesbrough has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Middlesbrough has scored 14 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Middlesbrough away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 5 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Scoring is not an issue for Middlesbrough when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 6 games they have played on the road. Can Watford stop this run?
Momentum is really building for Middlesbrough as they have now gone 11 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 4 games involving Middlesbrough has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will Watford get in on the action today? There has been a total of 19 goals in the last 5 games for Middlesbrough, both home and away.
Middlesbrough is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Watford, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 14 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Middlesbrough, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 10 matches (77% of all matches) involving Middlesbrough has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Middlesbrough will score today, as they have netted in the last 13 games coming into this one and have scored 14 goals in the last five games.
Watford affronte Middlesbrough en Championship (journée 15) le samedi 7 novembre 2026 à 15:00 au Vicarage Road. xG moyen : 1.3 pour Watford, 2.1 pour Middlesbrough. Buts moyens/match : 0.93 pour Watford, 2.14 pour Middlesbrough. Possession : 46.43% pour Watford, 59.86% pour Middlesbrough. Tirs : 12.36 (dont 3.93 cadrés) pour Watford, 19.21 (dont 6.29 cadrés) pour Middlesbrough. Indice de forme : Watford 2.7/10, Middlesbrough 7.2/10. Sur 24 confrontations directes : 12 victoires Watford, 5 nuls, 7 victoires Middlesbrough.
Notre algorithme favorise Middlesbrough (54%) pour ce match. Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.