Freiburg vs RB Leipzig - Bundesliga - Journee 28 - samedi 6 avril 2024 à 13:30
Stade : Europa-Park Stadion (Freiburg im Breisgau)
Score final : Freiburg 1-4 RB Leipzig
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit RB Leipzig favori avec 55% de chances de victoire (nul 23%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.1 pour Freiburg, 1.4 pour RB Leipzig. RB Leipzig a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Freiburg | 21% | 4,40 | -2,0% |
| Match nul | 23% | 4,10 | -1,0% |
| Victoire RB Leipzig ✓ | 55% | 1,70 | -4,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Bundesliga :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 70% | 1,36 | -4,0% |
| RB Leipzig marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 87% | 1,10 | -4,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 61% | 1,57 | -3,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 39% | 2,25 | -5,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 83% | 1,18 | -2,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 63% | 1,49 | -4,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 41% | 2,30 | -2,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 37% | 2,38 | -5,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 59% | 1,60 | -4,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Freiburg vs RB Leipzig :
| Statistique | Freiburg | RB Leipzig |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,15 | 1,44 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 4 |
| Possession | 46% | 54% |
| Tirs | 14 | 15 |
| Tirs cadrés | 3 | 7 |
| Corners | 8 | 4 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 50 | 35 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | -9 | 36 | 1.32 | WDLDDL | 5/10 |
| RB Leipzig | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | +28 | 50 | 1.76 | WWWDDD | 8/10 |
Coming into this game, Freiburg has picked up 7 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Freiburg has scored 10 times in the last 5 fixtures.
RB Leipzig's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Freiburg from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 5 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 10 games involving Freiburg has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will RB Leipzig get in on the action today? There has been a total of 18 goals in the last 5 games for Freiburg, both home and away.
In the last 5 matches for Freiburg, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 16 matches (59% of all matches) involving Freiburg has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Freiburg will score today, as they have netted in the last 6 games coming into this one and have scored 10 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, RB Leipzig has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. RB Leipzig has scored 12 times in the last 5 fixtures.
RB Leipzig has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.
Scoring is not an issue for RB Leipzig when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 8 games they have played on the road. Can Freiburg stop this run?
Momentum is really building for RB Leipzig as they have now gone 4 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
RB Leipzig will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Freiburg, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
In the last 5 matches for RB Leipzig, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 16 matches (59% of all matches) involving RB Leipzig has seen BTTS landing.
Freiburg a perdu contre RB Leipzig 1-4 en Bundesliga le samedi 6 avril 2024 à 13:30 au Europa-Park Stadion (Freiburg im Breisgau). xG du match : 1.1 pour Freiburg, 1.4 pour RB Leipzig. Possession : 46% pour Freiburg, 54% pour RB Leipzig. Tirs : 14 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Freiburg, 15 (dont 7 cadrés) pour RB Leipzig. Indice de forme : Freiburg 5/10, RB Leipzig 8/10. Sur 19 confrontations directes : 4 victoires Freiburg, 5 nuls, 10 victoires RB Leipzig.
Score final : Freiburg 1-4 RB Leipzig. L'algorithme avait prevu RB Leipzig (55%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.