Liverpool vs Manchester City - Premier League - Journee 28 - dimanche 10 mars 2024 à 15:45
Stade : Anfield (Liverpool)
Score final : Liverpool 1-1 Manchester City
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Liverpool favori avec 46% de chances de victoire (nul 28%). L'algorithme avait prévu Liverpool favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.9 pour Liverpool, 1.4 pour Manchester City. Liverpool a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Liverpool | 46% | 2,96 | +12,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul ✓ | 28% | 3,75 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Manchester City | 27% | 2,27 | -17,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Premier League :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 82% | 1,21 | -1,0% |
| Manchester City marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 71% | 1,17 | -14,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 58% | 1,44 | -11,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 42% | 2,63 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 79% | 1,12 | -10,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 57% | 1,52 | -9,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 34% | 2,30 | -9,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 43% | 2,43 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 66% | 1,54 | +1,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Liverpool vs Manchester City :
| Statistique | Liverpool | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,9 | 1,42 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 1 |
| Possession | 53% | 47% |
| Tirs | 21 | 11 |
| Tirs cadrés | 7 | 7 |
| Corners | 7 | 4 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 55 | 49 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 27 | 19 | 6 | 2 | +39 | 63 | 1.93 | WLDWDW | 9.1/10 |
| Manchester City | 27 | 19 | 5 | 3 | +35 | 62 | 1.99 | WWWWWW | 9/10 |
Coming into this game, Liverpool has picked up 12 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Liverpool has scored 13 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Liverpool is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 4 games that they have played at home.
Superb stuff from Liverpool at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 13 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Manchester City's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Liverpool from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 5 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Liverpool as they have now gone 4 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
Liverpool will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Manchester City, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 4 and drawn 0
In the last 5 matches for Liverpool, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 18 matches (67% of all matches) involving Liverpool has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Liverpool will score today, as they have netted in the last 10 games coming into this one and have scored 13 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Manchester City has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Manchester City has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Incredible away form is being show by Manchester City and those travelling fans must be loving it. They have won the last 5 and is unbeaten in 5 away trips. Can Liverpool end their fairytale away days?
Scoring is not an issue for Manchester City when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 5 games they have played on the road. Can Liverpool stop this run?
Momentum is really building for Manchester City as they have now gone 12 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
Manchester City has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 8 occasions.
Manchester City is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Liverpool, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 8 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Manchester City has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 17/27 games for Manchester City this season.
It's likely that Manchester City will score today, as they have netted in the last 12 games coming into this one and have scored 8 goals in the last five games.
Liverpool a fait match nul contre Manchester City 1-1 en Premier League le dimanche 10 mars 2024 à 15:45 au Anfield (Liverpool). xG du match : 1.9 pour Liverpool, 1.4 pour Manchester City. Possession : 53% pour Liverpool, 47% pour Manchester City. Tirs : 21 (dont 7 cadrés) pour Liverpool, 11 (dont 7 cadrés) pour Manchester City. Indice de forme : Liverpool 9.1/10, Manchester City 9/10. Sur 43 confrontations directes : 17 victoires Liverpool, 16 nuls, 10 victoires Manchester City.
Score final : Liverpool 1-1 Manchester City. L'algorithme avait prevu Liverpool (46%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.