Paços de Ferreira vs CD Nacional - Liga Pro - Journee 29 - dimanche 14 avril 2024 à 10:00
Stade : Estádio da Capital do Móvel (Paços de Ferreira)
Score final : Paços de Ferreira 1-1 CD Nacional
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Paços de Ferreira favori avec 40% de chances de victoire (nul 31%). L'algorithme avait prévu Paços de Ferreira favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 2.0 pour Paços de Ferreira, 1.3 pour CD Nacional. Paços de Ferreira a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Paços de Ferreira | 40% | 2,44 | -1,0% |
| Match nul ✓ | 31% | 3,35 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire CD Nacional | 29% | 2,90 | -5,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Liga Pro :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paços de Ferreira marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 76% | 1,25 | -4,0% |
| CD Nacional marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 69% | 1,30 | -8,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 52% | 1,72 | -6,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 48% | 2,05 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 73% | 1,30 | -4,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 47% | 1,99 | -3,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 26% | 3,30 | -4,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 53% | 1,85 | -1,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 74% | 1,30 | -3,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Paços de Ferreira vs CD Nacional :
| Statistique | Paços de Ferreira | CD Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 2,02 | 1,26 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 1 |
| Possession | 50% | 50% |
| Tirs | 23 | 12 |
| Tirs cadrés | 7 | 5 |
| Corners | 7 | 2 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 73 | 30 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paços de Ferreira | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | +8 | 43 | 1.51 | WWWDWW | 8.8/10 |
| CD Nacional | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | +20 | 55 | 1.59 | DWDWDW | 6.9/10 |
Coming into this game, Paços de Ferreira has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Paços de Ferreira has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Paços de Ferreira is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 3 games that they have played at home.
CD Nacional's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Paços de Ferreira from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 4 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 3 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Paços de Ferreira as they have now gone 7 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
Paços de Ferreira has kept 4 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 1 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 11 occasions.
Paços de Ferreira is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against CD Nacional, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 7 goals in those 5 games.
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Paços de Ferreira has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 12/28 games for Paços de Ferreira this season.
It's likely that Paços de Ferreira will score today, as they have netted in the last 9 games coming into this one and have scored 7 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, CD Nacional has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. CD Nacional has scored 6 times in the last 5 fixtures.
CD Nacional a aimé jouer à l'extérieur récemment, l'équipe étant actuellement sur une série d'invincibilité de 4 matchs.
Scoring is not an issue for CD Nacional when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 6 games they have played on the road. Can Paços de Ferreira stop this run?
Momentum is really building for CD Nacional as they have now gone 7 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
CD Nacional is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Paços de Ferreira, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 6 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for CD Nacional, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 19 matches (68% of all matches) involving CD Nacional has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that CD Nacional will score today, as they have netted in the last 11 games coming into this one and have scored 6 goals in the last five games.
Paços de Ferreira a fait match nul contre CD Nacional 1-1 en Liga Pro le dimanche 14 avril 2024 à 10:00 au Estádio da Capital do Móvel (Paços de Ferreira). xG du match : 2.0 pour Paços de Ferreira, 1.3 pour CD Nacional. Possession : 50% pour Paços de Ferreira, 50% pour CD Nacional. Tirs : 23 (dont 7 cadrés) pour Paços de Ferreira, 12 (dont 5 cadrés) pour CD Nacional. Indice de forme : Paços de Ferreira 8.8/10, CD Nacional 6.9/10. Sur 19 confrontations directes : 3 victoires Paços de Ferreira, 6 nuls, 10 victoires CD Nacional.
Score final : Paços de Ferreira 1-1 CD Nacional. L'algorithme avait prevu Paços de Ferreira (40%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.