St. Pauli vs Elversberg - 2. Bundesliga - Journee 29 - dimanche 14 avril 2024 à 11:30
Stade : Millerntor-Stadion (Hamburg)
Score final : St. Pauli 3-4 Elversberg
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit St. Pauli favori avec 57% de chances de victoire (nul 24%). L'algorithme avait prévu St. Pauli favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 2.0 pour St. Pauli, 1.7 pour Elversberg. St. Pauli a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire St. Pauli | 57% | 1,48 | -11,0% |
| Match nul | 24% | 4,50 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Elversberg ✓ | 19% | 5,80 | +2,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de 2. Bundesliga :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. Pauli marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 84% | 1,08 | -9,0% |
| Elversberg marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 62% | 1,55 | -3,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 52% | 1,73 | -6,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 48% | 2,00 | -2,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 77% | 1,18 | -8,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 54% | 1,57 | -10,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 31% | 2,35 | -12,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 46% | 2,25 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 69% | 1,55 | +4,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour St. Pauli vs Elversberg :
| Statistique | St. Pauli | Elversberg |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 2,05 | 1,67 |
| Buts marqués | 3 | 4 |
| Possession | 69% | 31% |
| Tirs | 18 | 16 |
| Tirs cadrés | 9 | 11 |
| Corners | 5 | 1 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 56 | 20 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Pauli | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | +23 | 57 | 1.68 | LWWLWW | 6.3/10 |
| Elversberg | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | -9 | 36 | 1.38 | LLWLLD | 1.6/10 |
Coming into this game, St. Pauli has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. St. Pauli has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
St. Pauli is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 5 games that they have played at home.
Superb stuff from St. Pauli at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 14 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Elversberg's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop St. Pauli from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 7 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 3 home matches this season.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 6 games for St. Pauli ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
In the last 5 matches for St. Pauli, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 18 matches (64% of all matches) involving St. Pauli has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that St. Pauli will score today, as they have netted in the last 7 games coming into this one and have scored 8 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Elversberg has picked up 4 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Elversberg has scored 4 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Elversberg recently, with the side failing to score in 4 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Elversberg has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 1 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 17/28 games for Elversberg this season.
Elversberg will need to improve their attack if they're to get anything out of this game. They have not scored in the last 3 matches. During the last five games they have scored 4 times and overall this season they have scored 1.39 goals per game.
St. Pauli a perdu contre Elversberg 3-4 en 2. Bundesliga le dimanche 14 avril 2024 à 11:30 au Millerntor-Stadion (Hamburg). xG du match : 2.0 pour St. Pauli, 1.7 pour Elversberg. Possession : 69% pour St. Pauli, 31% pour Elversberg. Tirs : 18 (dont 9 cadrés) pour St. Pauli, 16 (dont 11 cadrés) pour Elversberg. Indice de forme : St. Pauli 6.3/10, Elversberg 1.6/10. Sur 2 confrontations directes : 1 victoire St. Pauli, 0 nul, 1 victoire Elversberg.
Score final : St. Pauli 3-4 Elversberg. L'algorithme avait prevu St. Pauli (57%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.