FeralpiSalò vs Parma - Serie B - Journee 30 - samedi 16 mars 2024 à 13:00
Stade : Stadio Leonardo Garilli (Piacenza)
Score final : FeralpiSalò 1-2 Parma
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Parma favori avec 45% de chances de victoire (nul 29%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.1 pour FeralpiSalò, 1.5 pour Parma. Parma a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire FeralpiSalò | 26% | 4,05 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 29% | 3,35 | -1,0% |
| Victoire Parma ✓ | 45% | 1,76 | -12,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Serie B :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| FeralpiSalò marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 67% | 1,44 | -2,0% |
| Parma marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 79% | 1,20 | -4,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 53% | 1,78 | -3,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 47% | 1,97 | -4,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 74% | 1,27 | -5,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 49% | 1,89 | -4,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 27% | 3,15 | -5,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 51% | 1,72 | -7,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 73% | 1,29 | -5,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour FeralpiSalò vs Parma :
| Statistique | FeralpiSalò | Parma |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,14 | 1,52 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 2 |
| Possession | 45% | 55% |
| Tirs | 12 | 18 |
| Tirs cadrés | 3 | 6 |
| Corners | 4 | 9 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 48 | 55 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FeralpiSalò | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | -14 | 27 | 1.26 | LLLWLW | 3/10 |
| Parma | 29 | 18 | 8 | 3 | +26 | 62 | 1.54 | WWDDWW | 7.8/10 |
Coming into this game, FeralpiSalò has picked up 6 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. FeralpiSalò has scored 6 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for FeralpiSalò recently, with the side failing to score in 2 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
FeralpiSalò has fired blanks in 11 games this season. That's 38% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 6 goals.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for FeralpiSalò has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 2 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 15/29 games for FeralpiSalò this season.
Coming into this game, Parma has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 5 of those games. Parma has scored 10 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Parma a aimé jouer à l'extérieur récemment, l'équipe étant actuellement sur une série de 3 matchs sans défaite.
Momentum is really building for Parma as they have now gone 7 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 12 games for Parma ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Parma is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against FeralpiSalò, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 10 goals in those 5 games.
The last 5 games for Parma has each seen both teams scoring. Will they improve their defence, or will we see more of the same here? This season Parma has seen a total of 19/29 fixtures end with both teams scoring. That's 66% of all matches played.
It's likely that Parma will score today, as they have netted in the last 7 games coming into this one and have scored 10 goals in the last five games.
FeralpiSalò a perdu contre Parma 1-2 en Serie B le samedi 16 mars 2024 à 13:00 au Stadio Leonardo Garilli (Piacenza). xG du match : 1.1 pour FeralpiSalò, 1.5 pour Parma. Possession : 45% pour FeralpiSalò, 55% pour Parma. Tirs : 12 (dont 3 cadrés) pour FeralpiSalò, 18 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Parma. Indice de forme : FeralpiSalò 3/10, Parma 7.8/10. Sur 4 confrontations directes : 1 victoire FeralpiSalò, 0 nul, 3 victoires Parma.
Score final : FeralpiSalò 1-2 Parma. L'algorithme avait prevu Parma (45%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.