Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion - Premier League - Journee 30 - dimanche 31 mars 2024 à 13:00
Stade : Anfield (Liverpool)
Score final : Liverpool 2-1 Brighton & Hove Albion
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Liverpool favori avec 74% de chances de victoire (nul 15%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 2.5 pour Liverpool, 1.1 pour Brighton & Hove Albion. Liverpool a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Liverpool ✓ | 74% | 1,36 | 0,0% |
| Match nul | 15% | 5,50 | -3,0% |
| Victoire Brighton & Hove Albion | 11% | 7,00 | -3,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Premier League :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 94% | 1,06 | 0,0% |
| Brighton & Hove Albion marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 66% | 1,47 | -2,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 62% | 1,57 | -2,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 38% | 2,25 | -6,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 91% | 1,11 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 76% | 1,40 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 56% | 1,98 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 24% | 2,90 | -10,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 44% | 1,82 | -11,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion :
| Statistique | Liverpool | Brighton & Hove Albion |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 2,54 | 1,05 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 1 |
| Possession | 55% | 45% |
| Tirs | 31 | 10 |
| Tirs cadrés | 9 | 4 |
| Corners | 8 | 4 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 81 | 36 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 28 | 19 | 7 | 2 | +39 | 64 | 1.93 | WLDWDW | 7.8/10 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | +6 | 42 | 1.65 | WLWDLW | 5.5/10 |
Coming into this game, Liverpool has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Liverpool has scored 13 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Liverpool at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 14 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Brighton & Hove Albion's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Liverpool from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 6 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Liverpool as they have now gone 5 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
Liverpool is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Brighton & Hove Albion, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 13 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Liverpool, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 19 matches (68% of all matches) involving Liverpool has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Liverpool will score today, as they have netted in the last 11 games coming into this one and have scored 13 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Brighton & Hove Albion has picked up 7 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Brighton & Hove Albion has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Brighton & Hove Albion has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 2 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 21/28 games for Brighton & Hove Albion this season.
Liverpool a battu Brighton & Hove Albion 2-1 en Premier League le dimanche 31 mars 2024 à 13:00 au Anfield (Liverpool). xG du match : 2.5 pour Liverpool, 1.1 pour Brighton & Hove Albion. Possession : 55% pour Liverpool, 45% pour Brighton & Hove Albion. Tirs : 31 (dont 9 cadrés) pour Liverpool, 10 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Brighton & Hove Albion. Indice de forme : Liverpool 7.8/10, Brighton & Hove Albion 5.5/10. Sur 16 confrontations directes : 9 victoires Liverpool, 4 nuls, 3 victoires Brighton & Hove Albion.
Score final : Liverpool 2-1 Brighton & Hove Albion. L'algorithme avait prevu Liverpool (74%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.