Manchester City vs Arsenal - Premier League - Journee 30 - dimanche 31 mars 2024 à 15:30
Stade : Etihad Stadium (Manchester)
Score final : Manchester City 0-0 Arsenal
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Manchester City favori avec 57% de chances de victoire (nul 24%). L'algorithme avait prévu Manchester City favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.5 pour Manchester City, 0.7 pour Arsenal. Manchester City a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Manchester City | 57% | 1,86 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul ✓ | 24% | 3,90 | -2,0% |
| Victoire Arsenal | 18% | 4,05 | -7,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Premier League :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City marque (HS) manqué ✗ | 85% | 1,15 | -2,0% |
| Arsenal marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 62% | 1,42 | -8,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 52% | 1,67 | -8,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 48% | 2,10 | 0,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 78% | 1,25 | -2,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 54% | 1,66 | -6,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 32% | 2,98 | -2,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 46% | 2,23 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 68% | 1,42 | -2,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Manchester City vs Arsenal :
| Statistique | Manchester City | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,52 | 0,72 |
| Buts marqués | 0 | 0 |
| Possession | 72% | 28% |
| Tirs | 14 | 8 |
| Tirs cadrés | 2 | 3 |
| Corners | 7 | 4 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 103 | 17 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | +35 | 63 | 1.97 | WWWWWW | 7.8/10 |
| Arsenal | 28 | 20 | 4 | 4 | +46 | 64 | 1.85 | WWWWWW | 2/10 |
Coming into this game, Manchester City has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Manchester City has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Manchester City at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 14 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Manchester City sera confiant quant à sa capacité à marquer aujourd'hui et cherchera à maintenir son record de buts inscrits dans chaque match à domicile cette saison.
Manchester City has had no trouble finding the back of the net recently and has scored in the last 14 home games. They have failed to find the net in 0 home game this season.
Momentum is really building for Manchester City as they have now gone 13 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
Manchester City is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Arsenal, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 7 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Manchester City, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 18 matches (64% of all matches) involving Manchester City has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Manchester City will score today, as they have netted in the last 13 games coming into this one and have scored 7 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Arsenal has picked up 15 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 3 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Arsenal has scored 23 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Arsenal has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 4 games.
Scoring is not an issue for Arsenal when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 6 games they have played on the road. Can Manchester City stop this run?
Momentum is really building for Arsenal as they have now gone 8 games without losing. They have won 5 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 12 games for Arsenal ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Arsenal has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 11 occasions.
Arsenal is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Manchester City, having won 5 and drawn 0. They have scored 23 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Arsenal has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 5 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 14/28 games for Arsenal this season.
It's likely that Arsenal will score today, as they have netted in the last 9 games coming into this one and have scored 23 goals in the last five games.
Manchester City a fait match nul contre Arsenal 0-0 en Premier League le dimanche 31 mars 2024 à 15:30 au Etihad Stadium (Manchester). xG du match : 1.5 pour Manchester City, 0.7 pour Arsenal. Possession : 72% pour Manchester City, 28% pour Arsenal. Tirs : 14 (dont 2 cadrés) pour Manchester City, 8 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Arsenal. Indice de forme : Manchester City 7.8/10, Arsenal 2/10. Sur 42 confrontations directes : 23 victoires Manchester City, 8 nuls, 11 victoires Arsenal.
Score final : Manchester City 0-0 Arsenal. L'algorithme avait prevu Manchester City (57%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.