Real Madrid vs Athletic Club Bilbao - La Liga - Journee 30 - dimanche 31 mars 2024 à 19:00
Stade : Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid)
Score final : Real Madrid 2-0 Athletic Club Bilbao
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Real Madrid favori avec 64% de chances de victoire (nul 23%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.1 pour Real Madrid, 1.1 pour Athletic Club Bilbao. Real Madrid a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Real Madrid ✓ | 64% | 1,60 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 23% | 4,25 | -1,0% |
| Victoire Athletic Club Bilbao | 13% | 5,50 | -5,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de La Liga :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 84% | 1,13 | -4,0% |
| Athletic Club Bilbao marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 48% | 1,57 | -16,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 40% | 1,80 | -16,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 60% | 1,95 | +9,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 71% | 1,21 | -12,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 45% | 1,71 | -13,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 24% | 2,88 | -11,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 55% | 2,14 | +8,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 76% | 1,44 | +7,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Real Madrid vs Athletic Club Bilbao :
| Statistique | Real Madrid | Athletic Club Bilbao |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,14 | 1,08 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 0 |
| Possession | 58% | 42% |
| Tirs | 10 | 8 |
| Tirs cadrés | 5 | 4 |
| Corners | 4 | 7 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 39 | 48 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 29 | 22 | 6 | 1 | +44 | 72 | 1.83 | WWWWDD | 8.8/10 |
| Athletic Club Bilbao | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | +24 | 56 | 1.46 | DWLDWW | 6.4/10 |
Coming into this game, Real Madrid has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Real Madrid has scored 12 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Le Real Madrid est en grande forme, et les supporters à domicile doivent apprécier. Ils ont remporté leurs 3 derniers matchs joués à domicile.
Superb stuff from Real Madrid at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 14 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Athletic Club Bilbao's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Real Madrid from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 9 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Real Madrid as they have now gone 23 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 3 games involving Real Madrid has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will Athletic Club Bilbao get in on the action today? There has been a total of 17 goals in the last 5 games for Real Madrid, both home and away.
Real Madrid is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Athletic Club Bilbao, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 12 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Real Madrid, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 15 matches (52% of all matches) involving Real Madrid has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Real Madrid will score today, as they have netted in the last 17 games coming into this one and have scored 12 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Athletic Club Bilbao has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Athletic Club Bilbao has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Athletic Club Bilbao a enchaîné une bonne série de forme et reste sur 3 matchs sans défaite.
Athletic Club Bilbao has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 5 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 15 occasions.
Athletic Club Bilbao will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Real Madrid, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Athletic Club Bilbao has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 10/29 games for Athletic Club Bilbao this season.
Real Madrid a battu Athletic Club Bilbao 2-0 en La Liga le dimanche 31 mars 2024 à 19:00 au Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid). xG du match : 1.1 pour Real Madrid, 1.1 pour Athletic Club Bilbao. Possession : 58% pour Real Madrid, 42% pour Athletic Club Bilbao. Tirs : 10 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Real Madrid, 8 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Athletic Club Bilbao. Indice de forme : Real Madrid 8.8/10, Athletic Club Bilbao 6.4/10. Sur 34 confrontations directes : 24 victoires Real Madrid, 6 nuls, 4 victoires Athletic Club Bilbao.
Score final : Real Madrid 2-0 Athletic Club Bilbao. L'algorithme avait prevu Real Madrid (64%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.