Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City - Championship - Journee 31 - samedi 10 février 2024 à 15:00
Stade : Ewood Park (Blackburn, Lancashire)
Score final : Blackburn Rovers 3-1 Stoke City
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Blackburn Rovers favori avec 37% de chances de victoire (nul 32%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.1 pour Blackburn Rovers, 0.9 pour Stoke City. Blackburn Rovers a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Blackburn Rovers ✓ | 37% | 2,20 | -8,0% |
| Match nul | 32% | 3,50 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Stoke City | 31% | 3,10 | -1,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Championship :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackburn Rovers marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 75% | 1,22 | -7,0% |
| Stoke City marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 72% | 1,28 | -6,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 54% | 1,57 | -10,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 46% | 2,25 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 74% | 1,22 | -8,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 49% | 1,88 | -4,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 27% | 2,80 | -9,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 51% | 1,98 | 0,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 73% | 1,45 | +4,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City :
| Statistique | Blackburn Rovers | Stoke City |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,14 | 0,89 |
| Buts marqués | 3 | 1 |
| Possession | 36% | 64% |
| Tirs | 10 | 8 |
| Tirs cadrés | 6 | 4 |
| Corners | 5 | 8 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 29 | 37 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blackburn Rovers | 29 | 10 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 33 | 1.45 | LDLDLW | 0.6/10 |
| Stoke City | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -14 | 32 | 1.25 | DLDWWW | 1.9/10 |
Coming into this game, Blackburn Rovers has picked up 2 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 5 of those games. Blackburn Rovers has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Stoke City's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Blackburn Rovers from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 5 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 2 home matches this season.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 15 games for Blackburn Rovers ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Can Blackburn Rovers turn this around? They have not won in the last 5 games coming into this, with 2 draws and 3 defeats.
The last 5 games for Blackburn Rovers has each seen both teams scoring. Will they improve their defence, or will we see more of the same here? This season Blackburn Rovers has seen a total of 19/29 fixtures end with both teams scoring. That's 66% of all matches played.
It's likely that Blackburn Rovers will score today, as they have netted in the last 5 games coming into this one and have scored 7 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Stoke City has picked up 4 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Stoke City has scored 3 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Scoring is not an issue for Stoke City when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 7 games they have played on the road. Can Blackburn Rovers stop this run?
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 3 games involving Stoke City has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will Blackburn Rovers get in on the action today? There has been a total of 13 goals in the last 5 games for Stoke City, both home and away.
Les choses n'ont pas si bien fonctionné devant le but pour Stoke City récemment, l'équipe n'ayant pas réussi à marquer lors de 2 de ses 5 derniers matchs. L'entraîneur changera-t-il ses tactiques aujourd'hui, ou alignera-t-il un autre attaquant ?
Stoke City has fired blanks in 13 games this season. That's 43% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 3 goals.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Stoke City has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 1 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 13/30 games for Stoke City this season.
Blackburn Rovers a battu Stoke City 3-1 en Championship le samedi 10 février 2024 à 15:00 au Ewood Park (Blackburn, Lancashire). xG du match : 1.1 pour Blackburn Rovers, 0.9 pour Stoke City. Possession : 36% pour Blackburn Rovers, 64% pour Stoke City. Tirs : 10 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Blackburn Rovers, 8 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Stoke City. Indice de forme : Blackburn Rovers 0.6/10, Stoke City 1.9/10. Sur 20 confrontations directes : 6 victoires Blackburn Rovers, 3 nuls, 11 victoires Stoke City.
Score final : Blackburn Rovers 3-1 Stoke City. L'algorithme avait prevu Blackburn Rovers (37%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.