İstanbul Başakşehir vs Beşiktaş - Süper Lig - Journee 31 - jeudi 4 avril 2024 à 17:30
Stade : Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu (İstanbul)
Score final : İstanbul Başakşehir 1-1 Beşiktaş
L'algorithme Pronalgo avait estimé ce match très équilibré (34% / 34% / 33%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.6 pour İstanbul Başakşehir, 0.8 pour Beşiktaş. İstanbul Başakşehir a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire İstanbul Başakşehir | 34% | 2,40 | -8,0% |
| Match nul ✓ | 34% | 3,35 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Beşiktaş | 33% | 2,72 | -4,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Süper Lig :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| İstanbul Başakşehir marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 71% | 1,29 | -7,0% |
| Beşiktaş marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 70% | 1,30 | -7,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 50% | 1,67 | -10,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 50% | 2,10 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 70% | 1,29 | -8,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 44% | 1,96 | -7,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 23% | 3,25 | -8,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 56% | 1,91 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 77% | 1,32 | +1,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour İstanbul Başakşehir vs Beşiktaş :
| Statistique | İstanbul Başakşehir | Beşiktaş |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,57 | 0,85 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 1 |
| Possession | 71% | 29% |
| Tirs | 20 | 8 |
| Tirs cadrés | 5 | 3 |
| Corners | 9 | 4 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 54 | 27 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| İstanbul Başakşehir | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | +3 | 42 | 1.26 | WWWWLW | 4.5/10 |
| Beşiktaş | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | +4 | 46 | 1.47 | WLWDDL | 3/10 |
Coming into this game, İstanbul Başakşehir has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. İstanbul Başakşehir has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Beşiktaş's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop İstanbul Başakşehir from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 4 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 4 home matches this season.
İstanbul Başakşehir has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 5 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 11 occasions.
İstanbul Başakşehir has fired blanks in 11 games this season. That's 37% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 7 goals.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for İstanbul Başakşehir has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 11/30 games for İstanbul Başakşehir this season.
It's likely that İstanbul Başakşehir will score today, as they have netted in the last 5 games coming into this one and have scored 7 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Beşiktaş has picked up 6 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Beşiktaş has scored 5 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Beşiktaş recently, with the side failing to score in 2 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Beşiktaş has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 2 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 12/30 games for Beşiktaş this season.
İstanbul Başakşehir a fait match nul contre Beşiktaş 1-1 en Süper Lig le jeudi 4 avril 2024 à 17:30 au Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu (İstanbul). xG du match : 1.6 pour İstanbul Başakşehir, 0.8 pour Beşiktaş. Possession : 71% pour İstanbul Başakşehir, 29% pour Beşiktaş. Tirs : 20 (dont 5 cadrés) pour İstanbul Başakşehir, 8 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Beşiktaş. Indice de forme : İstanbul Başakşehir 4.5/10, Beşiktaş 3/10. Sur 20 confrontations directes : 6 victoires İstanbul Başakşehir, 6 nuls, 8 victoires Beşiktaş.
Score final : İstanbul Başakşehir 1-1 Beşiktaş. L'algorithme avait prevu match nul (34%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.