RCD Mallorca vs Real Madrid - La Liga - Journee 31 - samedi 13 avril 2024 à 16:30
Stade : Estadi Mallorca Son Moix (Palma de Mallorca)
Score final : RCD Mallorca 0-1 Real Madrid
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Real Madrid favori avec 46% de chances de victoire (nul 30%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 0.9 pour RCD Mallorca, 1.9 pour Real Madrid. Real Madrid a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire RCD Mallorca | 24% | 5,00 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 30% | 3,60 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Real Madrid ✓ | 46% | 1,78 | -10,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de La Liga :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| RCD Mallorca marque (HS) manqué ✗ | 64% | 1,60 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Real Madrid marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 78% | 1,18 | -7,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 50% | 1,95 | -1,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 50% | 1,80 | -6,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 72% | 1,36 | -2,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 47% | 2,05 | -2,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 25% | 3,75 | -2,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 53% | 1,80 | -3,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 75% | 1,28 | -3,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour RCD Mallorca vs Real Madrid :
| Statistique | RCD Mallorca | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 0,86 | 1,85 |
| Buts marqués | 0 | 1 |
| Possession | 43% | 57% |
| Tirs | 7 | 17 |
| Tirs cadrés | 3 | 10 |
| Corners | 4 | 2 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 36 | 43 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCD Mallorca | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | -10 | 31 | 1.21 | LDWLWD | 4.2/10 |
| Real Madrid | 30 | 23 | 6 | 1 | +46 | 75 | 1.80 | WWWWDD | 8.6/10 |
Coming into this game, RCD Mallorca has picked up 8 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. RCD Mallorca has scored 3 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Real Madrid's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop RCD Mallorca from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 4 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 5 home matches this season.
Le RCD Mallorca a enchaîné une bonne série de forme et reste sur 2 matchs sans défaite.
RCD Mallorca has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 9 occasions.
RCD Mallorca will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Real Madrid, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 2 and drawn 2
Les choses n'ont pas si bien fonctionné devant le but pour RCD Mallorca récemment, l'équipe n'ayant pas réussi à marquer lors de 2 de ses 5 derniers matchs. L'entraîneur changera-t-il ses tactiques aujourd'hui, ou lancera-t-il un autre attaquant ?
RCD Mallorca has fired blanks in 13 games this season. That's 43% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 3 goals.
Just 1 of the last 5 games for RCD Mallorca has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 2 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 13/30 games for RCD Mallorca this season.
Coming into this game, Real Madrid has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Real Madrid has scored 13 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Real Madrid away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 11 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Scoring is not an issue for Real Madrid when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 15 games they have played on the road. Can RCD Mallorca stop this run?
Momentum is really building for Real Madrid as they have now gone 24 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 4 games for Real Madrid ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Real Madrid has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 4 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 15 occasions.
Real Madrid is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against RCD Mallorca, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 13 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Real Madrid has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 15/30 games for Real Madrid this season.
It's likely that Real Madrid will score today, as they have netted in the last 18 games coming into this one and have scored 13 goals in the last five games.
RCD Mallorca a perdu contre Real Madrid 0-1 en La Liga le samedi 13 avril 2024 à 16:30 au Estadi Mallorca Son Moix (Palma de Mallorca). xG du match : 0.9 pour RCD Mallorca, 1.9 pour Real Madrid. Possession : 43% pour RCD Mallorca, 57% pour Real Madrid. Tirs : 7 (dont 3 cadrés) pour RCD Mallorca, 17 (dont 10 cadrés) pour Real Madrid. Indice de forme : RCD Mallorca 4.2/10, Real Madrid 8.6/10. Sur 17 confrontations directes : 3 victoires RCD Mallorca, 1 nul, 13 victoires Real Madrid.
Score final : RCD Mallorca 0-1 Real Madrid. L'algorithme avait prevu Real Madrid (46%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.