FC Penafiel vs CS Marítimo - Liga Pro - Journee 32 - dimanche 5 mai 2024 à 10:00
Stade : Estádio Municipal 25 de Abril (Penafiel)
Score final : FC Penafiel 0-1 CS Marítimo
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit CS Marítimo favori avec 44% de chances de victoire (nul 30%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.7 pour FC Penafiel, 1.1 pour CS Marítimo. FC Penafiel a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire FC Penafiel | 25% | 4,88 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 30% | 3,40 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire CS Marítimo ✓ | 44% | 1,65 | -17,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Liga Pro :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Penafiel marque (HS) manqué ✗ | 65% | 1,55 | 0,0% |
| CS Marítimo marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 77% | 1,20 | -6,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 50% | 1,90 | -3,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 50% | 1,83 | -5,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 71% | 1,33 | -4,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 46% | 2,00 | -4,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 24% | 3,40 | -5,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 54% | 1,72 | -4,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 76% | 1,29 | -2,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour FC Penafiel vs CS Marítimo :
| Statistique | FC Penafiel | CS Marítimo |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,69 | 1,11 |
| Buts marqués | 0 | 1 |
| Possession | 50% | 50% |
| Tirs | 16 | 7 |
| Tirs cadrés | 4 | 4 |
| Corners | 10 | 6 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 82 | 52 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Penafiel | 31 | 11 | 5 | 15 | -6 | 38 | 1.33 | WDWLLD | 6.1/10 |
| CS Marítimo | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | +21 | 57 | 1.48 | WDDDWW | 7.1/10 |
Coming into this game, FC Penafiel has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. FC Penafiel has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
FC Penafiel has enjoyed playing at home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.
La dynamique est vraiment positive pour FC Penafiel qui reste sur une série de 4 matchs sans défaite. Ils ont remporté 3 de leurs 5 derniers matchs joués.
FC Penafiel has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 4 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 11 occasions.
FC Penafiel will be looking to keep up the momentum today against CS Marítimo, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
FC Penafiel has fired blanks in 12 games this season. That's 39% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 8 goals.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for FC Penafiel has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 11/31 games for FC Penafiel this season.
It's likely that FC Penafiel will score today, as they have netted in the last 5 games coming into this one and have scored 8 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, CS Marítimo has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. CS Marítimo has scored 5 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from CS Marítimo away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 5 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Momentum is really building for CS Marítimo as they have now gone 12 games without losing. They have won 2 of the last 5 games they have played.
CS Marítimo has kept 4 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 15 occasions.
CS Marítimo is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against FC Penafiel, having won 2 and drawn 3. They have scored 5 goals in those 5 games.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for CS Marítimo recently, with the side failing to score in 3 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Just 1 of the last 5 games for CS Marítimo has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 2 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 15/31 games for CS Marítimo this season.
FC Penafiel a perdu contre CS Marítimo 0-1 en Liga Pro le dimanche 5 mai 2024 à 10:00 au Estádio Municipal 25 de Abril (Penafiel). xG du match : 1.7 pour FC Penafiel, 1.1 pour CS Marítimo. Possession : 50% pour FC Penafiel, 50% pour CS Marítimo. Tirs : 16 (dont 4 cadrés) pour FC Penafiel, 7 (dont 4 cadrés) pour CS Marítimo. Indice de forme : FC Penafiel 6.1/10, CS Marítimo 7.1/10. Sur 6 confrontations directes : 1 victoire FC Penafiel, 2 nuls, 3 victoires CS Marítimo.
Score final : FC Penafiel 0-1 CS Marítimo. L'algorithme avait prevu CS Marítimo (44%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.