Nice vs PSG - Ligue 1 - Journee 32 - mercredi 15 mai 2024 à 19:00
Stade : Allianz Riviera (Nice)
Score final : Nice 1-2 PSG
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit PSG favori avec 39% de chances de victoire (nul 29%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.3 pour Nice, 1.1 pour PSG. Nice a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Nice | 32% | 2,86 | -3,0% |
| Match nul | 29% | 3,55 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire PSG ✓ | 39% | 2,14 | -8,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Ligue 1 :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nice marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 77% | 1,25 | -3,0% |
| PSG marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 81% | 1,18 | -4,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 62% | 1,53 | -3,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 38% | 2,38 | -4,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 82% | 1,19 | -2,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 60% | 1,60 | -3,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 38% | 2,50 | -2,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 40% | 2,25 | -4,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 62% | 1,53 | -3,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Nice vs PSG :
| Statistique | Nice | PSG |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,33 | 1,07 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 2 |
| Possession | 37% | 63% |
| Tirs | 13 | 12 |
| Tirs cadrés | 5 | 5 |
| Corners | 7 | 2 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 39 | 19 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | +12 | 54 | 1.43 | WDWWLD | 6.7/10 |
| PSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | +45 | 70 | 1.69 | WWDLWW | 6.2/10 |
Coming into this game, Nice has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Nice has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.
PSG's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Nice from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 4 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 3 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Nice as they have now gone 5 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
Nice has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 3 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 17 occasions.
Nice is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against PSG, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 9 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Nice has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 12/32 games for Nice this season.
It's likely that Nice will score today, as they have netted in the last 4 games coming into this one and have scored 9 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, PSG has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. PSG has scored 14 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from PSG away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 15 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Momentum is really building for PSG as they have now gone 26 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 7 games for PSG ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
PSG is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Nice, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 14 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for PSG, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 20 matches (65% of all matches) involving PSG has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that PSG will score today, as they have netted in the last 7 games coming into this one and have scored 14 goals in the last five games.
Nice a perdu contre PSG 1-2 en Ligue 1 le mercredi 15 mai 2024 à 19:00 au Allianz Riviera (Nice). xG du match : 1.3 pour Nice, 1.1 pour PSG. Possession : 37% pour Nice, 63% pour PSG. Tirs : 13 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Nice, 12 (dont 5 cadrés) pour PSG. Indice de forme : Nice 6.7/10, PSG 6.2/10. Sur 30 confrontations directes : 6 victoires Nice, 6 nuls, 18 victoires PSG.
Score final : Nice 1-2 PSG. L'algorithme avait prevu PSG (39%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.