Stuttgart vs Bayern München - Bundesliga - Journee 32 - samedi 4 mai 2024 à 13:30
Stade : MHPArena (Stuttgart)
Score final : Stuttgart 3-1 Bayern München
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Stuttgart favori avec 45% de chances de victoire (nul 26%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 2.4 pour Stuttgart, 0.8 pour Bayern München. Stuttgart a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Stuttgart ✓ | 45% | 2,30 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 26% | 3,70 | -1,0% |
| Victoire Bayern München | 29% | 2,75 | -7,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Bundesliga :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stuttgart marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 85% | 1,11 | -5,0% |
| Bayern München marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 78% | 1,18 | -7,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 66% | 1,40 | -5,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 34% | 2,75 | -2,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 85% | 1,13 | -3,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 66% | 1,52 | 0,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 44% | 2,05 | -5,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 34% | 2,31 | -9,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 56% | 1,70 | -3,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Stuttgart vs Bayern München :
| Statistique | Stuttgart | Bayern München |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 2,37 | 0,83 |
| Buts marqués | 3 | 1 |
| Possession | 60% | 40% |
| Tirs | 25 | 11 |
| Tirs cadrés | 11 | 4 |
| Corners | 3 | 1 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 54 | 15 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stuttgart | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | +32 | 64 | 1.66 | WLDWWW | 6.4/10 |
| Bayern München | 31 | 22 | 3 | 6 | +51 | 69 | 2.05 | WLLWWW | 7/10 |
Coming into this game, Stuttgart has picked up 8 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Stuttgart has scored 10 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Stuttgart at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 10 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Stuttgart aura confiance en ses chances de marquer aujourd'hui et cherchera à maintenir son record de buts inscrits lors de chaque match à domicile cette saison.
Stuttgart has had no trouble finding the back of the net recently and has scored in the last 15 home games. They have failed to find the net in 0 home game this season.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 3 games involving Stuttgart has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will Bayern München get in on the action today? There has been a total of 17 goals in the last 5 games for Stuttgart, both home and away.
Stuttgart will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Bayern München, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 2 and drawn 2
In the last 5 matches for Stuttgart, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 18 matches (58% of all matches) involving Stuttgart has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Stuttgart will score today, as they have netted in the last 13 games coming into this one and have scored 10 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Bayern München has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Bayern München has scored 11 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Scoring is not an issue for Bayern München when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 5 games they have played on the road. Can Stuttgart stop this run?
Bayern München has put together a good run of form and has now gone 3 games without defeat.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 13 games for Bayern München ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
In the last 5 matches for Bayern München, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 18 matches (58% of all matches) involving Bayern München has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Bayern München will score today, as they have netted in the last 4 games coming into this one and have scored 11 goals in the last five games.
Stuttgart a battu Bayern München 3-1 en Bundesliga le samedi 4 mai 2024 à 13:30 au MHPArena (Stuttgart). xG du match : 2.4 pour Stuttgart, 0.8 pour Bayern München. Possession : 60% pour Stuttgart, 40% pour Bayern München. Tirs : 25 (dont 11 cadrés) pour Stuttgart, 11 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Bayern München. Indice de forme : Stuttgart 6.4/10, Bayern München 7/10. Sur 34 confrontations directes : 4 victoires Stuttgart, 4 nuls, 26 victoires Bayern München.
Score final : Stuttgart 3-1 Bayern München. L'algorithme avait prevu Stuttgart (45%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.