Montpellier vs Monaco - Ligue 1 - Journee 33 - dimanche 12 mai 2024 à 19:00
Stade : Stade de la Mosson-Mondial 98 (Montpellier)
Score final : Montpellier 0-2 Monaco
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Monaco favori avec 46% de chances de victoire (nul 27%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.4 pour Montpellier, 1.9 pour Monaco. Monaco a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Montpellier | 28% | 3,18 | -3,0% |
| Match nul | 27% | 4,04 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Monaco ✓ | 46% | 2,04 | -3,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Ligue 1 :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier marque (HS) manqué ✗ | 74% | 1,22 | -8,0% |
| Monaco marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 83% | 1,10 | -8,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 61% | 1,40 | -10,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 39% | 2,75 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 82% | 1,12 | -7,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 61% | 1,38 | -11,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 38% | 2,06 | -11,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 39% | 2,90 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 62% | 1,77 | +6,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Montpellier vs Monaco :
| Statistique | Montpellier | Monaco |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,41 | 1,92 |
| Buts marqués | 0 | 2 |
| Possession | 45% | 55% |
| Tirs | 15 | 20 |
| Tirs cadrés | 4 | 10 |
| Corners | 3 | 3 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 51 | 36 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | -3 | 41 | 1.44 | WWDWDW | 8.1/10 |
| Monaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | +20 | 61 | 1.66 | WWLWWW | 8.3/10 |
Coming into this game, Montpellier has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Montpellier has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Montpellier a aimé jouer à domicile récemment, l'équipe étant actuellement sur une série de 2 matchs sans défaite.
Monaco's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Montpellier from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 6 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 4 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Montpellier as they have now gone 6 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 13 games for Montpellier ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Montpellier is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Monaco, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 8 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Montpellier, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 17 matches (53% of all matches) involving Montpellier has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Montpellier will score today, as they have netted in the last 13 games coming into this one and have scored 8 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Monaco has picked up 12 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Monaco has scored 10 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Scoring is not an issue for Monaco when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 10 games they have played on the road. Can Montpellier stop this run?
Monaco has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 4 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 10 occasions.
Monaco will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Montpellier, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 4 and drawn 0
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Monaco has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 19/32 games for Monaco this season.
It's likely that Monaco will score today, as they have netted in the last 8 games coming into this one and have scored 10 goals in the last five games.
Montpellier a perdu contre Monaco 0-2 en Ligue 1 le dimanche 12 mai 2024 à 19:00 au Stade de la Mosson-Mondial 98 (Montpellier). xG du match : 1.4 pour Montpellier, 1.9 pour Monaco. Possession : 45% pour Montpellier, 55% pour Monaco. Tirs : 15 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Montpellier, 20 (dont 10 cadrés) pour Monaco. Indice de forme : Montpellier 8.1/10, Monaco 8.3/10. Sur 25 confrontations directes : 4 victoires Montpellier, 8 nuls, 13 victoires Monaco.
Score final : Montpellier 0-2 Monaco. L'algorithme avait prevu Monaco (46%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.