Vitória Guimarães vs Sporting Braga - Liga Portugal - Journee 33 - samedi 11 mai 2024 à 19:30
Stade : Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques (Guimarães)
Score final : Vitória Guimarães 2-3 Sporting Braga
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Sporting Braga favori avec 35% de chances de victoire (nul 32%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.4 pour Vitória Guimarães, 1.7 pour Sporting Braga. Sporting Braga a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Vitória Guimarães | 33% | 3,30 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 32% | 3,45 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Sporting Braga ✓ | 35% | 2,01 | -15,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Liga Portugal :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vitória Guimarães marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 74% | 1,33 | -1,0% |
| Sporting Braga marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 75% | 1,20 | -8,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 55% | 1,67 | -5,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 45% | 2,12 | -2,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 75% | 1,23 | -6,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 51% | 1,65 | -10,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 29% | 2,89 | -6,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 49% | 2,06 | 0,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 71% | 1,34 | -4,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Vitória Guimarães vs Sporting Braga :
| Statistique | Vitória Guimarães | Sporting Braga |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,4 | 1,72 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 3 |
| Possession | 47% | 53% |
| Tirs | 16 | 15 |
| Tirs cadrés | 5 | 9 |
| Corners | 6 | 8 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 57 | 37 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitória Guimarães | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | +13 | 60 | 1.45 | DLWLLW | 4.6/10 |
| Sporting Braga | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | +21 | 65 | 1.81 | WWLWWL | 5.9/10 |
Coming into this game, Vitória Guimarães has picked up 7 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Vitória Guimarães has scored 5 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Vitória Guimarães has enjoyed playing at home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 4 games.
Sporting Braga's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Vitória Guimarães from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 4 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
In the last 5 matches for Vitória Guimarães, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 17 matches (53% of all matches) involving Vitória Guimarães has seen BTTS landing.
Coming into this game, Sporting Braga has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Sporting Braga has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 3 games involving Sporting Braga has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will Vitória Guimarães get in on the action today? There has been a total of 18 goals in the last 5 games for Sporting Braga, both home and away.
In the last 5 matches for Sporting Braga, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 22 matches (69% of all matches) involving Sporting Braga has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Sporting Braga will score today, as they have netted in the last 4 games coming into this one and have scored 8 goals in the last five games.
Vitória Guimarães a perdu contre Sporting Braga 2-3 en Liga Portugal le samedi 11 mai 2024 à 19:30 au Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques (Guimarães). xG du match : 1.4 pour Vitória Guimarães, 1.7 pour Sporting Braga. Possession : 47% pour Vitória Guimarães, 53% pour Sporting Braga. Tirs : 16 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Vitória Guimarães, 15 (dont 9 cadrés) pour Sporting Braga. Indice de forme : Vitória Guimarães 4.6/10, Sporting Braga 5.9/10. Sur 30 confrontations directes : 7 victoires Vitória Guimarães, 6 nuls, 17 victoires Sporting Braga.
Score final : Vitória Guimarães 2-3 Sporting Braga. L'algorithme avait prevu Sporting Braga (35%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.