Estrela Amadora vs Gil Vicente - Liga Portugal - Journee 34 - samedi 18 mai 2024 à 14:30
Stade : Estádio José Gomes (Amadora)
Score final : Estrela Amadora 1-0 Gil Vicente
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Estrela Amadora favori avec 60% de chances de victoire (nul 23%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.5 pour Estrela Amadora, 0.9 pour Gil Vicente. Estrela Amadora a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Estrela Amadora ✓ | 60% | 1,58 | -3,0% |
| Match nul | 23% | 3,75 | -4,0% |
| Victoire Gil Vicente | 18% | 4,30 | -5,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Liga Portugal :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela Amadora marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 86% | 1,11 | -4,0% |
| Gil Vicente marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 62% | 1,44 | -7,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 53% | 1,69 | -6,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 47% | 2,09 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 79% | 1,18 | -6,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 57% | 1,68 | -3,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 34% | 2,54 | -5,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 43% | 2,05 | -6,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 66% | 1,43 | -4,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Estrela Amadora vs Gil Vicente :
| Statistique | Estrela Amadora | Gil Vicente |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,46 | 0,95 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 0 |
| Possession | 49% | 51% |
| Tirs | 17 | 10 |
| Tirs cadrés | 4 | 3 |
| Corners | 4 | 3 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 41 | 23 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -21 | 30 | 1.20 | DDLDLW | 1.8/10 |
| Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | -9 | 36 | 1.25 | LWDDWL | 4.5/10 |
Coming into this game, Estrela Amadora has picked up 3 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Estrela Amadora has scored 3 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Can Estrela Amadora turn this around? They have not won in the last 5 games coming into this, with 3 draws and 2 defeats.
Les choses n'ont pas été si faciles devant le but pour Estrela Amadora récemment, l'équipe n'ayant pas réussi à marquer lors de 3 de ses 5 derniers matchs. L'entraîneur va-t-il changer ses tactiques aujourd'hui ou lancer un autre attaquant ?
Estrela Amadora has fired blanks in 13 games this season. That's 39% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 3 goals.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Estrela Amadora has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 0 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 17/33 games for Estrela Amadora this season.
Estrela Amadora will need to improve their attack if they're to get anything out of this game. They have not scored in the last 3 matches. During the last five games they have scored 3 times and overall this season they have scored 0.97 goals per game.
Coming into this game, Gil Vicente has picked up 8 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Gil Vicente has scored 6 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Gil Vicente has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.
Momentum is really building for Gil Vicente as they have now gone 4 games without losing. They have won 2 of the last 5 games they have played.
Gil Vicente will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Estrela Amadora, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 2 and drawn 2
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Gil Vicente has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 2 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 17/33 games for Gil Vicente this season.
It's likely that Gil Vicente will score today, as they have netted in the last 4 games coming into this one and have scored 6 goals in the last five games.
Estrela Amadora a battu Gil Vicente 1-0 en Liga Portugal le samedi 18 mai 2024 à 14:30 au Estádio José Gomes (Amadora). xG du match : 1.5 pour Estrela Amadora, 0.9 pour Gil Vicente. Possession : 49% pour Estrela Amadora, 51% pour Gil Vicente. Tirs : 17 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Estrela Amadora, 10 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Gil Vicente. Indice de forme : Estrela Amadora 1.8/10, Gil Vicente 4.5/10. Sur 1 confrontations directes : 0 victoire Estrela Amadora, 1 nul, 0 victoire Gil Vicente.
Score final : Estrela Amadora 1-0 Gil Vicente. L'algorithme avait prevu Estrela Amadora (60%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.