Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Magdeburg - 2. Bundesliga - Journee 34 - dimanche 19 mai 2024 à 13:30
Stade : Düsseldorf Arena (Düsseldorf)
Score final : Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-2 Magdeburg
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Fortuna Düsseldorf favori avec 53% de chances de victoire (nul 25%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 2.1 pour Fortuna Düsseldorf, 2.0 pour Magdeburg. Fortuna Düsseldorf a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Fortuna Düsseldorf ✓ | 53% | 1,80 | -3,0% |
| Match nul | 25% | 3,80 | -1,0% |
| Victoire Magdeburg | 22% | 3,45 | -7,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de 2. Bundesliga :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Düsseldorf marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 86% | 1,10 | -5,0% |
| Magdeburg marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 69% | 1,25 | -11,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 60% | 1,45 | -9,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 40% | 2,55 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 82% | 1,14 | -6,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 61% | 1,41 | -10,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 38% | 2,14 | -9,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 39% | 2,78 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 62% | 1,71 | +4,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Magdeburg :
| Statistique | Fortuna Düsseldorf | Magdeburg |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 2,11 | 2,05 |
| Buts marqués | 3 | 2 |
| Possession | 40% | 60% |
| Tirs | 26 | 16 |
| Tirs cadrés | 8 | 10 |
| Corners | 7 | 11 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 41 | 64 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Düsseldorf | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | +31 | 60 | 1.56 | WWWDWD | 7.7/10 |
| Magdeburg | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | -7 | 38 | 1.47 | DWDLDL | 4.1/10 |
Coming into this game, Fortuna Düsseldorf has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Fortuna Düsseldorf has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Fortuna Düsseldorf is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 5 games that they have played at home.
Superb stuff from Fortuna Düsseldorf at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 6 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Magdeburg's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Fortuna Düsseldorf from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 7 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Fortuna Düsseldorf as they have now gone 13 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
Fortuna Düsseldorf is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Magdeburg, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 8 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Fortuna Düsseldorf, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 20 matches (61% of all matches) involving Fortuna Düsseldorf has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Fortuna Düsseldorf will score today, as they have netted in the last 17 games coming into this one and have scored 8 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Magdeburg has picked up 6 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Magdeburg has scored 6 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Magdeburg will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Fortuna Düsseldorf, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 1 and drawn 3
In the last 5 matches for Magdeburg, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 18 matches (55% of all matches) involving Magdeburg has seen BTTS landing.
Fortuna Düsseldorf a battu Magdeburg 3-2 en 2. Bundesliga le dimanche 19 mai 2024 à 13:30 au Düsseldorf Arena (Düsseldorf). xG du match : 2.1 pour Fortuna Düsseldorf, 2.0 pour Magdeburg. Possession : 40% pour Fortuna Düsseldorf, 60% pour Magdeburg. Tirs : 26 (dont 8 cadrés) pour Fortuna Düsseldorf, 16 (dont 10 cadrés) pour Magdeburg. Indice de forme : Fortuna Düsseldorf 7.7/10, Magdeburg 4.1/10. Sur 4 confrontations directes : 4 victoires Fortuna Düsseldorf, 0 nul, 0 victoire Magdeburg.
Score final : Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-2 Magdeburg. L'algorithme avait prevu Fortuna Düsseldorf (53%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.