Metz vs PSG - Ligue 1 - Journee 34 - dimanche 19 mai 2024 à 19:00
Stade : Stade Saint-Symphorien (Longeville-lès-Metz)
Score final : Metz 0-2 PSG
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit PSG favori avec 55% de chances de victoire (nul 22%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.1 pour Metz, 2.4 pour PSG. PSG a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Metz | 22% | 5,80 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 22% | 5,00 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire PSG ✓ | 55% | 1,44 | -14,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Ligue 1 :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Metz marque (HS) manqué ✗ | 75% | 1,33 | 0,0% |
| PSG marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 89% | 1,06 | -5,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 66% | 1,48 | -2,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 34% | 2,60 | -4,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 87% | 1,11 | -3,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 70% | 1,42 | 0,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 48% | 1,95 | -3,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 30% | 2,74 | -6,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 52% | 1,80 | -4,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Metz vs PSG :
| Statistique | Metz | PSG |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,15 | 2,37 |
| Buts marqués | 0 | 2 |
| Possession | 24% | 76% |
| Tirs | 13 | 24 |
| Tirs cadrés | 3 | 9 |
| Corners | 1 | 10 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 34 | 57 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | -21 | 29 | 1.10 | LWWLLL | 2.2/10 |
| PSG | 33 | 21 | 10 | 2 | +46 | 73 | 1.67 | WWDLWW | 6.4/10 |
Coming into this game, Metz has picked up 6 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Metz has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
PSG's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Metz from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 7 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 6 home matches this season.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 3 games involving Metz has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will PSG get in on the action today? There has been a total of 15 goals in the last 5 games for Metz, both home and away.
In the last 5 matches for Metz, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 18 matches (55% of all matches) involving Metz has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Metz will score today, as they have netted in the last 11 games coming into this one and have scored 7 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, PSG has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 5 of those games. PSG has scored 14 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Incredible away form is being show by PSG and those travelling fans must be loving it. They have won the last 4 and is unbeaten in 16 away trips. Can Metz end their fairytale away days?
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 9 games for PSG ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
PSG will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Metz, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
The last 5 games for PSG has each seen both teams scoring. Will they improve their defence, or will we see more of the same here? This season PSG has seen a total of 22/33 fixtures end with both teams scoring. That's 67% of all matches played.
It's likely that PSG will score today, as they have netted in the last 9 games coming into this one and have scored 14 goals in the last five games.
Metz a perdu contre PSG 0-2 en Ligue 1 le dimanche 19 mai 2024 à 19:00 au Stade Saint-Symphorien (Longeville-lès-Metz). xG du match : 1.1 pour Metz, 2.4 pour PSG. Possession : 24% pour Metz, 76% pour PSG. Tirs : 13 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Metz, 24 (dont 9 cadrés) pour PSG. Indice de forme : Metz 2.2/10, PSG 6.4/10. Sur 12 confrontations directes : 0 victoire Metz, 0 nul, 12 victoires PSG.
Score final : Metz 0-2 PSG. L'algorithme avait prevu PSG (55%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.