Angers SCO vs Pau - Ligue 2 - Journee 36 - vendredi 3 mai 2024 à 18:00
Stade : Stade Raymond Kopa (Angers)
Score final : Angers SCO 2-1 Pau
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Angers SCO favori avec 41% de chances de victoire (nul 31%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 2.1 pour Angers SCO, 1.0 pour Pau. Angers SCO a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Angers SCO ✓ | 41% | 1,71 | -17,0% |
| Match nul | 31% | 3,50 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Pau | 28% | 4,30 | +5,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Ligue 2 :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Angers SCO marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 76% | 1,15 | -11,0% |
| Pau marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 68% | 1,57 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 52% | 1,77 | -4,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 48% | 1,91 | -4,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 73% | 1,28 | -5,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 48% | 1,94 | -4,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 26% | 3,10 | -6,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 52% | 1,94 | 0,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 74% | 1,35 | 0,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Angers SCO vs Pau :
| Statistique | Angers SCO | Pau |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 2,1 | 1,03 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 1 |
| Possession | 46% | 54% |
| Tirs | 24 | 10 |
| Tirs cadrés | 8 | 4 |
| Corners | 7 | 6 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 74 | 40 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angers SCO | 35 | 18 | 7 | 10 | +12 | 61 | 1.36 | WDDWWL | 5.9/10 |
| Pau | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | +6 | 51 | 1.41 | WDWWDL | 6.2/10 |
Coming into this game, Angers SCO has picked up 8 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Angers SCO has scored 6 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Angers SCO has enjoyed playing at home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.
Pau's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Angers SCO from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 4 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 2 home matches this season.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 3 games involving Angers SCO has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will Pau get in on the action today? There has been a total of 12 goals in the last 5 games for Angers SCO, both home and away.
Angers SCO will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Pau, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 2 and drawn 2
In the last 5 matches for Angers SCO, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 15 matches (43% of all matches) involving Angers SCO has seen BTTS landing.
Coming into this game, Pau has picked up 8 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Pau has scored 11 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Pau has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 3 games.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 7 games for Pau ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Pau will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Angers SCO, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 2 and drawn 2
In the last 5 matches for Pau, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 21 matches (60% of all matches) involving Pau has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Pau will score today, as they have netted in the last 7 games coming into this one and have scored 11 goals in the last five games.
Angers SCO a battu Pau 2-1 en Ligue 2 le vendredi 3 mai 2024 à 18:00 au Stade Raymond Kopa (Angers). xG du match : 2.1 pour Angers SCO, 1.0 pour Pau. Possession : 46% pour Angers SCO, 54% pour Pau. Tirs : 24 (dont 8 cadrés) pour Angers SCO, 10 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Pau. Indice de forme : Angers SCO 5.9/10, Pau 6.2/10. Sur 1 confrontations directes : 0 victoire Angers SCO, 1 nul, 0 victoire Pau.
Score final : Angers SCO 2-1 Pau. L'algorithme avait prevu Angers SCO (41%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.