Arsenal vs Everton - Premier League - Journee 38 - dimanche 19 mai 2024 à 15:00
Stade : Emirates Stadium (London)
Score final : Arsenal 2-1 Everton
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Arsenal favori avec 76% de chances de victoire (nul 15%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 2.9 pour Arsenal, 0.7 pour Everton. Arsenal a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Arsenal ✓ | 76% | 1,16 | -10,0% |
| Match nul | 15% | 8,00 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Everton | 10% | 16,00 | +4,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Premier League :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 94% | 1,02 | -4,0% |
| Everton marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 59% | 1,85 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 56% | 1,95 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 44% | 1,80 | -12,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 88% | 1,09 | -4,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 70% | 1,35 | -4,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 49% | 1,94 | -3,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 30% | 3,04 | -3,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 51% | 1,79 | -5,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Arsenal vs Everton :
| Statistique | Arsenal | Everton |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 2,91 | 0,72 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 1 |
| Possession | 69% | 31% |
| Tirs | 37 | 7 |
| Tirs cadrés | 6 | 3 |
| Corners | 8 | 1 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 110 | 18 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | +61 | 86 | 1.80 | WWWWWW | 9.1/10 |
| Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | -10 | 48 | 1.45 | WWWDWL | 6.9/10 |
Coming into this game, Arsenal has picked up 15 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 3 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Arsenal has scored 14 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Momentum is really building for Arsenal as they have now gone 5 games without losing. They have won 5 of the last 5 games they have played.
Arsenal has kept 4 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 18 occasions.
Arsenal is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Everton, having won 5 and drawn 0. They have scored 14 goals in those 5 games.
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Arsenal has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 5 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 15/37 games for Arsenal this season.
It's likely that Arsenal will score today, as they have netted in the last 5 games coming into this one and have scored 14 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Everton has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Everton has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Momentum is really building for Everton as they have now gone 5 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
Everton has kept 4 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 1 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 13 occasions.
Everton is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Arsenal, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 7 goals in those 5 games.
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Everton has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 14/37 games for Everton this season.
It's likely that Everton will score today, as they have netted in the last 5 games coming into this one and have scored 7 goals in the last five games.
Arsenal a battu Everton 2-1 en Premier League le dimanche 19 mai 2024 à 15:00 au Emirates Stadium (London). xG du match : 2.9 pour Arsenal, 0.7 pour Everton. Possession : 69% pour Arsenal, 31% pour Everton. Tirs : 37 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Arsenal, 7 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Everton. Indice de forme : Arsenal 9.1/10, Everton 6.9/10. Sur 35 confrontations directes : 21 victoires Arsenal, 7 nuls, 7 victoires Everton.
Score final : Arsenal 2-1 Everton. L'algorithme avait prevu Arsenal (76%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.