Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa - Premier League - Journee 38 - dimanche 19 mai 2024 à 15:00
Stade : Selhurst Park (London)
Score final : Crystal Palace 5-0 Aston Villa
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Crystal Palace favori avec 48% de chances de victoire (nul 27%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 2.1 pour Crystal Palace, 0.9 pour Aston Villa. Crystal Palace a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Crystal Palace ✓ | 48% | 2,15 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 27% | 4,00 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Aston Villa | 25% | 3,00 | -8,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Premier League :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 82% | 1,09 | -10,0% |
| Aston Villa marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 69% | 1,22 | -13,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 57% | 1,40 | -14,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 43% | 2,75 | +7,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 79% | 1,11 | -11,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 55% | 1,39 | -17,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 33% | 2,08 | -15,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 45% | 2,86 | +10,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 67% | 1,68 | +7,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa :
| Statistique | Crystal Palace | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 2,1 | 0,9 |
| Buts marqués | 5 | 0 |
| Possession | 54% | 46% |
| Tirs | 19 | 9 |
| Tirs cadrés | 10 | 3 |
| Corners | 2 | 4 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 54 | 17 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | -6 | 46 | 1.30 | WWDWWW | 9.7/10 |
| Aston Villa | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | +20 | 68 | 1.48 | WWDLDL | 5.1/10 |
Coming into this game, Crystal Palace has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Crystal Palace has scored 15 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Crystal Palace is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 3 games that they have played at home.
Aston Villa's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Crystal Palace from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 11 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 4 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Crystal Palace as they have now gone 6 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 5 games for Crystal Palace ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Crystal Palace is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Aston Villa, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 15 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Crystal Palace, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 23 matches (62% of all matches) involving Crystal Palace has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Crystal Palace will score today, as they have netted in the last 7 games coming into this one and have scored 15 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Aston Villa has picked up 8 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Aston Villa has scored 10 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Aston Villa will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Crystal Palace, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 2 and drawn 2
In the last 5 matches for Aston Villa, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 25 matches (68% of all matches) involving Aston Villa has seen BTTS landing.
Crystal Palace a battu Aston Villa 5-0 en Premier League le dimanche 19 mai 2024 à 15:00 au Selhurst Park (London). xG du match : 2.1 pour Crystal Palace, 0.9 pour Aston Villa. Possession : 54% pour Crystal Palace, 46% pour Aston Villa. Tirs : 19 (dont 10 cadrés) pour Crystal Palace, 9 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Aston Villa. Indice de forme : Crystal Palace 9.7/10, Aston Villa 5.1/10. Sur 15 confrontations directes : 6 victoires Crystal Palace, 2 nuls, 7 victoires Aston Villa.
Score final : Crystal Palace 5-0 Aston Villa. L'algorithme avait prevu Crystal Palace (48%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.