Leeds United vs Millwall - Championship - Journee 38 - dimanche 17 mars 2024 à 15:00
Stade : Elland Road (Leeds, West Yorkshire)
Score final : Leeds United 2-0 Millwall
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Leeds United favori avec 73% de chances de victoire (nul 18%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.5 pour Leeds United, 1.2 pour Millwall. Leeds United a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Leeds United ✓ | 73% | 1,40 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 18% | 4,50 | -4,0% |
| Victoire Millwall | 9% | 8,00 | -4,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Championship :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds United marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 89% | 1,09 | -3,0% |
| Millwall marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 48% | 1,83 | -7,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 43% | 2,00 | -7,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 57% | 1,73 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 78% | 1,22 | -4,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 55% | 1,80 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 32% | 2,85 | -3,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 45% | 2,05 | -4,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 68% | 1,44 | -1,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Leeds United vs Millwall :
| Statistique | Leeds United | Millwall |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,51 | 1,24 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 0 |
| Possession | 63% | 37% |
| Tirs | 19 | 13 |
| Tirs cadrés | 6 | 4 |
| Corners | 13 | 2 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 46 | 45 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds United | 37 | 24 | 7 | 6 | +40 | 79 | 1.56 | WWWDWW | 9.4/10 |
| Millwall | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | -12 | 43 | 1.18 | LWWWWW | 5.1/10 |
Coming into this game, Leeds United has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Leeds United has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Leeds United est en grande forme, et les supporters à domicile doivent apprécier. Ils ont remporté leurs 7 derniers matchs joués à domicile.
Superb stuff from Leeds United at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 18 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Millwall's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Leeds United from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 15 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Leeds United as they have now gone 12 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
Leeds United has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 17 occasions.
Leeds United is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Millwall, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 9 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Leeds United has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 16/37 games for Leeds United this season.
It's likely that Leeds United will score today, as they have netted in the last 12 games coming into this one and have scored 9 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Millwall has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Millwall has scored 5 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Millwall a aimé voyager récemment, l'équipe étant actuellement sur une série d'invincibilité de 2 matchs à l'extérieur.
Momentum is really building for Millwall as they have now gone 4 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
Millwall will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Leeds United, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Millwall has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 15/37 games for Millwall this season.
It's likely that Millwall will score today, as they have netted in the last 4 games coming into this one and have scored 5 goals in the last five games.
Leeds United a battu Millwall 2-0 en Championship le dimanche 17 mars 2024 à 15:00 au Elland Road (Leeds, West Yorkshire). xG du match : 1.5 pour Leeds United, 1.2 pour Millwall. Possession : 63% pour Leeds United, 37% pour Millwall. Tirs : 19 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Leeds United, 13 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Millwall. Indice de forme : Leeds United 9.4/10, Millwall 5.1/10. Sur 19 confrontations directes : 9 victoires Leeds United, 1 nul, 9 victoires Millwall.
Score final : Leeds United 2-0 Millwall. L'algorithme avait prevu Leeds United (73%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.