Queens Park Rangers vs Birmingham City - Championship - Journee 39 - vendredi 29 mars 2024 à 15:00
Stade : MATRADE Loftus Road (London)
Score final : Queens Park Rangers 2-1 Birmingham City
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Queens Park Rangers favori avec 39% de chances de victoire (nul 33%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.8 pour Queens Park Rangers, 1.1 pour Birmingham City. Queens Park Rangers a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Queens Park Rangers ✓ | 39% | 2,00 | -11,0% |
| Match nul | 33% | 3,40 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Birmingham City | 28% | 3,50 | -1,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Championship :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Queens Park Rangers marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 73% | 1,25 | -7,0% |
| Birmingham City marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 65% | 1,50 | -2,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 47% | 1,91 | -5,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 53% | 1,80 | -3,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 68% | 1,40 | -3,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 42% | 2,16 | -4,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 21% | 4,20 | -3,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 58% | 1,70 | -1,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 79% | 1,24 | -2,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Queens Park Rangers vs Birmingham City :
| Statistique | Queens Park Rangers | Birmingham City |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,81 | 1,15 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 1 |
| Possession | 55% | 45% |
| Tirs | 19 | 14 |
| Tirs cadrés | 7 | 4 |
| Corners | 6 | 2 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 70 | 41 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Queens Park Rangers | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | -14 | 40 | 1.22 | LDLWWW | 5.4/10 |
| Birmingham City | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | -17 | 39 | 1.30 | LLWDDW | 0/10 |
Coming into this game, Queens Park Rangers has picked up 8 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Queens Park Rangers has scored 6 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Queens Park Rangers will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Birmingham City, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 2 and drawn 2
Les choses ne vont pas si bien devant le but pour Queens Park Rangers ces derniers temps, l'équipe n'ayant pas réussi à marquer lors de 2 des 5 derniers matchs. L'entraîneur changera-t-il ses tactiques aujourd'hui, ou lancera-t-il un autre attaquant ?
Queens Park Rangers has fired blanks in 15 games this season. That's 39% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored an intriguing 6 goals.
In the last 5 matches for Queens Park Rangers, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 18 matches (47% of all matches) involving Queens Park Rangers has seen BTTS landing.
Queens Park Rangers will need to improve their attack if they're to get anything out of this game. They have not scored in the last 2 matches. During the last five games they have scored 6 times and overall this season they have scored 0.95 goals per game.
Coming into this game, Birmingham City has picked up 1 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Birmingham City has scored 4 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Can Birmingham City turn this around? They have not won in the last 5 games coming into this, with 1 draws and 4 defeats.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Birmingham City recently, with the side failing to score in 3 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Birmingham City has fired blanks in 14 games this season. That's 37% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 4 goals.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Birmingham City has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 0 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 20/38 games for Birmingham City this season.
Birmingham City will need to improve their attack if they're to get anything out of this game. They have not scored in the last 3 matches. During the last five games they have scored 4 times and overall this season they have scored 1.11 goals per game.
Queens Park Rangers a battu Birmingham City 2-1 en Championship le vendredi 29 mars 2024 à 15:00 au MATRADE Loftus Road (London). xG du match : 1.8 pour Queens Park Rangers, 1.1 pour Birmingham City. Possession : 55% pour Queens Park Rangers, 45% pour Birmingham City. Tirs : 19 (dont 7 cadrés) pour Queens Park Rangers, 14 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Birmingham City. Indice de forme : Queens Park Rangers 5.4/10, Birmingham City 0/10. Sur 21 confrontations directes : 10 victoires Queens Park Rangers, 5 nuls, 6 victoires Birmingham City.
Score final : Queens Park Rangers 2-1 Birmingham City. L'algorithme avait prevu Queens Park Rangers (39%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.