Birmingham City vs Swansea City - Championship - Journee 15 - samedi 7 novembre 2026 à 15:00
Stade : St. Andrew's Stadium
Selon l'algorithme Pronalgo, Birmingham City est favori de ce match avec 45% de chances de s'imposer.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Birmingham City | 45% | 1,78 | -11,0% |
| Match nul | 28% | 3,47 | -1,0% |
| Victoire Swansea City | 27% | 3,63 | -1,0% |
Un edge positif signale un value bet : la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépasse la probabilité implicite de la cote (1/cote).
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Championship :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham City marque (HS) | 81% | 1,18 | -4,0% |
| Swansea City marque (AS) | 72% | 1,44 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) | 58% | 1,73 | 0,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) | 42% | 2,00 | -8,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) | 79% | 1,22 | -3,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) | 56% | 1,87 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) | 33% | 3,14 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) | 44% | 1,90 | -9,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) | 67% | 1,29 | -11,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Birmingham City vs Swansea City :
| Statistique | Birmingham City | Swansea City |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,59 | 1,41 |
| Buts marqués | 1,86 | 1,5 |
| Possession | 50,5% | 60,21% |
| Tirs | 13,86 | 12,07 |
| Tirs cadrés | 5 | 4,57 |
| Corners | 5,36 | 4,14 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 50,29 | 43,93 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham City | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | +13 | 26 | 1.59 | WWWLWW | 9/10 |
| Swansea City | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +5 | 26 | 1.41 | WWLLWL | 4.1/10 |
Coming into this game, Birmingham City has picked up 12 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Birmingham City has scored 13 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Birmingham City is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 3 games that they have played at home.
Superb stuff from Birmingham City at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 7 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Birmingham City aura la confiance nécessaire pour marquer aujourd'hui et cherchera à maintenir sa série de buts inscrits lors de chaque match à domicile cette saison.
Birmingham City has had no trouble finding the back of the net recently and has scored in the last 7 home games. They have failed to find the net in 0 home game this season.
Birmingham City a enchaîné une bonne série de forme et reste désormais sur 2 matchs sans défaite.
Birmingham City has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 5 occasions.
Birmingham City will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Swansea City, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 4 and drawn 0
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Birmingham City has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 8/14 games for Birmingham City this season.
Coming into this game, Swansea City has picked up 6 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Swansea City has scored 6 times in the last 5 fixtures.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 3 games involving Swansea City has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will Birmingham City get in on the action today? There has been a total of 15 goals in the last 5 games for Swansea City, both home and away.
Les choses n'ont pas été si faciles devant le but pour Swansea City ces derniers temps, l'équipe n'ayant pas réussi à marquer lors de 2 de ses 5 derniers matchs. L'entraîneur va-t-il changer de tactique aujourd'hui ou faire entrer un autre attaquant ?
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Swansea City has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 2 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 6/14 games for Swansea City this season.
Birmingham City affronte Swansea City en Championship (journée 15) le samedi 7 novembre 2026 à 15:00 au St. Andrew's Stadium. xG moyen : 1.6 pour Birmingham City, 1.4 pour Swansea City. Buts moyens/match : 1.86 pour Birmingham City, 1.5 pour Swansea City. Possession : 50.5% pour Birmingham City, 60.21% pour Swansea City. Tirs : 13.86 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Birmingham City, 12.07 (dont 4.57 cadrés) pour Swansea City. Indice de forme : Birmingham City 9/10, Swansea City 4.1/10. Sur 19 confrontations directes : 7 victoires Birmingham City, 9 nuls, 3 victoires Swansea City.
Notre algorithme favorise Birmingham City (45%) pour ce match. Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.