Norwich City vs Ipswich Town - Championship - Journee 41 - samedi 6 avril 2024 à 11:30
Stade : Carrow Road (Norwich, Norfolk)
Score final : Norwich City 1-0 Ipswich Town
L'algorithme Pronalgo avait estimé ce match très équilibré (34% / 34% / 33%). L'algorithme avait prévu un match équilibré, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.0 pour Norwich City, 1.2 pour Ipswich Town. Ipswich Town a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Norwich City ✓ | 34% | 2,71 | -3,0% |
| Match nul | 34% | 3,69 | +7,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Ipswich Town | 33% | 2,42 | -8,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Championship :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich City marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 72% | 1,25 | -8,0% |
| Ipswich Town marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 72% | 1,22 | -10,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 52% | 1,57 | -12,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 48% | 2,35 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 72% | 1,22 | -10,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 47% | 1,63 | -14,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 25% | 2,80 | -11,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 53% | 2,30 | +10,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 75% | 1,45 | +6,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Norwich City vs Ipswich Town :
| Statistique | Norwich City | Ipswich Town |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 0,98 | 1,17 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 0 |
| Possession | 37% | 63% |
| Tirs | 13 | 11 |
| Tirs cadrés | 4 | 4 |
| Corners | 4 | 6 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 17 | 60 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich City | 40 | 19 | 7 | 14 | +14 | 64 | 1.37 | WDDLDL | 6.5/10 |
| Ipswich Town | 40 | 26 | 9 | 5 | +33 | 87 | 1.57 | WLWWWL | 8.5/10 |
Coming into this game, Norwich City has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Norwich City has scored 12 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Norwich City is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 7 games that they have played at home.
Superb stuff from Norwich City at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 12 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Ipswich Town's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Norwich City from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 10 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 2 home matches this season.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 5 games involving Norwich City has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will Ipswich Town get in on the action today? There has been a total of 19 goals in the last 5 games for Norwich City, both home and away.
In the last 5 matches for Norwich City, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 26 matches (65% of all matches) involving Norwich City has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Norwich City will score today, as they have netted in the last 11 games coming into this one and have scored 12 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Ipswich Town has picked up 12 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Ipswich Town has scored 14 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Scoring is not an issue for Ipswich Town when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 7 games they have played on the road. Can Norwich City stop this run?
Ipswich Town enchaîne une bonne série de forme et reste sur 3 matchs sans défaite.
Ipswich Town cherchera à maintenir sa dynamique aujourd'hui contre Norwich City, n'ayant perdu qu'1 seul match sur les 5 derniers. Ils en ont gagné 4 et fait 0 match nul
In the last 5 matches for Ipswich Town, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 25 matches (63% of all matches) involving Ipswich Town has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Ipswich Town will score today, as they have netted in the last 14 games coming into this one and have scored 14 goals in the last five games.
Norwich City a battu Ipswich Town 1-0 en Championship le samedi 6 avril 2024 à 11:30 au Carrow Road (Norwich, Norfolk). xG du match : 1.0 pour Norwich City, 1.2 pour Ipswich Town. Possession : 37% pour Norwich City, 63% pour Ipswich Town. Tirs : 13 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Norwich City, 11 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Ipswich Town. Indice de forme : Norwich City 6.5/10, Ipswich Town 8.5/10. Sur 15 confrontations directes : 8 victoires Norwich City, 6 nuls, 1 victoire Ipswich Town.
Score final : Norwich City 1-0 Ipswich Town. L'algorithme avait prevu match nul (34%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.